TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,455 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8165…f688backed Over51c10,612$5,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.885100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c7,326$3,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,788.529,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under54c4,092$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.043,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under49c2,694$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.1492753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c1,892$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.344,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Over53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7921143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c1,559$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80850754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c612$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.882,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over48c520$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.416139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c461.86$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.615,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f64…098ebacked Under49c448.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over51c423.36$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.312,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c420.57$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.082,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20421858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over46c163.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1293849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.634451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8111158.6%65 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under51c147.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7565649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over41c113.22$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.31,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Over44c110$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.664139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under52c104.17$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.173,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3863…ae6abacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b06…f9cebacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.923153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over49c84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8462349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over49c84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8471747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over49c84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8431754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over46c75.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.922,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over49c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6634053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over49c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6634254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.673445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.633147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.66453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under50c52.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4176250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.531250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Under56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce65…6759backed Under32c49.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1613441%55 W · 79 L-16.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Over49c47.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2912947.3%61 W · 68 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.428852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.631551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6220456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3636651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6415051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7159…7cfcbacked Under57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203672.2%26 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over49c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3423753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over49c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3427350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over49c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3422048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6632649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over49c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3423850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6627251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over49c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3431852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.325250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.327353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.327150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.584150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2424552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7614648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2445251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2415352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211741.9%49 W · 68 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2415854.4%86 W · 72 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2423348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7647948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2415953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2426648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2425150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9610751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57eb…3a67backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106346%29 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee9…f7acbacked Over68c16.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4310150.5%51 W · 50 L+10.1wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.