NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x186106082aea86abf0beda2f326b3c12b9602f12d28f91f48e8aab08fc883b3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 4,719$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…a85bbacked Over | 47c | 3,201$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c28…fb64backed Under | 53c | 3,201$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…13dabacked Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 45c | 2,033$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.02 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Under | 63c | 1,926$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.38 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 33c | 1,161$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.51 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…e1a1backed Over | 50c | 520$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 516$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 41c | 298.25$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 42c | 212.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.69 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 59c | 200.1$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 57c | 154.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 44c | 108.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Over | 47c | 100.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 42c | 97.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 43c | 65.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 58c | 50.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 44c | 50.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 57c | 41.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 57c | 41.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 39c | 30.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Under | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95c…1b63backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…5a30backed Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 67c | 18.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Under | 66c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Raptors won
- 76ers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 210.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.