NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f3756f728edcfa40e410131240ef08a2de72e9b34986765be97cfc00c587867
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof 76ers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Raptors | 54c | 132,231$71,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,213.03 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked 76ers | 46c | 72,019$33,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,128.85 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 54c | 23,641$12,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,938.79 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked 76ers | 45c | 20,812$9,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,369.11 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers | 47c | 20,034$9,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,415.98 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed 76ers | 47c | 14,000$6,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,580 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers | 47c | 10,853$5,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,055.19 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors | 53c | 10,851$5,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.91 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed 76ers | 47c | 7,886$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688.73 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed 76ers | 54c | 5,147$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.29 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 48c | 4,762$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Raptors | 55c | 4,596$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.2 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed 76ers | 47c | 4,256$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.32 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 46c | 4,119$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Raptors | 46c | 2,567$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.18 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed 76ers | 46c | 2,509$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.15 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked 76ers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 53c | 1,937$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 53c | 1,692$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed 76ers | 47c | 1,230$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked 76ers | 47c | 1,181$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.07 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 46c | 786.65$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…9343backed 76ers | 46c | 311.17$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.14 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Raptors | 53c | 284$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed 76ers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Raptors | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Raptors | 52c | 189$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Raptors | 53c | 188.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked 76ers | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked 76ers | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked 76ers | 47c | 133.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers | 52c | 112.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Raptors | 48c | 112.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed 76ers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed 76ers | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed 76ers | 49c | 82.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Raptors | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed 76ers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed 76ers | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Raptors | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raptors | 48c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed 76ers | 51c | 46.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed 76ers | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -11.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed 76ers | 46c | 40.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked 76ers | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Raptors | 52c | 32.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Raptors | 48c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Raptors | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed 76ers | 46c | 21.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Raptors won
- 76ers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 210.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.