Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45a07050b8f0cebe5302302d2651e243c3dbe784a4dccf1590fd3bf2d1884cbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 49c | 2,045$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 56c | 1,410$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 45c | 1,046$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 57c | 803.47$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.25 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 737.45$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.96 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 485.74$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.07 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked No | 48c | 422$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.44 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 43c | 405.05$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…38e6backed Yes | 55c | 365$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 54c | 295.6$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.33 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Yes | 57c | 291.23$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 55c | 287$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 253.04$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 44c | 232.62$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.72 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 59c | 201.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.58 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…271dbacked No | 48c | 198.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 43c | 175.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Yes | 59c | 169.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 48c | 146.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 56c | 139.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 52c | 136.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 55c | 116.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 56c | 115$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…3b30backed Yes | 55c | 110.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 51c | 97.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 62c | 97.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Yes | 56c | 78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 41c | 74.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 56c | 69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 26c | 58.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Yes | 56c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 55.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 57c | 45.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978a…c358backed Yes | 34c | 44.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a46…7527backed Yes | 56c | 44.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…203cbacked Yes | 57c | 40.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 44c | 36.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked No | 48c | 33.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 30c | 33.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d70…f83fbacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed No | 54c | 31.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed No | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +89%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked No | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb793…15d0backed Yes | 55c | 24.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 59c | 20.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Yes | 54c | 19.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.