NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x478d2308c87cb3683be8c6c11f856e14e54c8edf34326cea5dcf3dbabb608c56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 2,735$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.48 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 56c | 1,989$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.48 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 786$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.28 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 621.3$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 578$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.32 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 51c | 463.94$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.33 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…600bbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 44cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Under | 58c | 351.52$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Over | 46c | 187.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 47c | 149$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 16c | 99.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Over | 50c | 95.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1271…a720backed Over | 49c | 67.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 45c | 66.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 73c | 52.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0548…9e1cbacked Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 37.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 45c | 32.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Over | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 46c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Clippers vs. PistonsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.