NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa802bcc4cb2eda1ad1b7673dfcf10d0911262d236a0d28005376f9b1bf99e751
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Pistons, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 53c | 10,749$5,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,665.87 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 40c | 6,288$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers | 52c | 6,234$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.59 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Clippers | 71c | 6,000$4,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.05 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Pistons | 54c | 5,030$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.11 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 46c | 5,019$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.42 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 47c | 4,830$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pistons | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Clippers | 54c | 4,191$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.91 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Pistons | 46c | 2,900$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Clippers | 54c | 2,889$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.89 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Clippers | 54c | 1,306$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.56 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Clippers | 52c | 572.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.72 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Clippers | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Pistons | 78c | 375$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pistons | 48c | 338.43$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.45 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Clippers | 54c | 238.33$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.63 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Clippers | 46c | 221.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pistons | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers | 52c | 104$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Pistons | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pistons | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Clippers | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Pistons | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Clippers | 53c | 32.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Clippers | 46c | 32.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Pistons | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 48c | 27.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pistons | 50c | 24.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Clippers | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Clippers vs. PistonsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.