NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x340d8807656b4bbaa8e64d34162a6e99587f3e57cf7f85cfc5b49c9fe12a7ed2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 51c | 90,000$45,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,900 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 73,712$36,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,592.89 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 50c | 9,298$4,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.18 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 8,870$4,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,511.36 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 8,325$4,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.39 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 6,576$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,352.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Under | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 4,895$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.34 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 49c | 4,698$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.76 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 3,869$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.99 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 1,939$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.64 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 47c | 1,930$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.13 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 1,100$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.81 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 3c | 950$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 898.83$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Over | 51c | 887.51$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.59 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 864$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.35 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…e372backed Under | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Over | 46c | 546$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.85 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 35c | 435$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.15 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 34c | 370.82$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 17c | 350$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 10c | 270.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cea…edf1backed Over | 18c | 214.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…7025backed Over | 51c | 164.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…660cbacked Over | 21c | 163.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +96%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Under | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 132.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…1620backed Under | 77c | 130.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 77c | 117.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9954…ec72backed Over | 55c | 115.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Under | 51c | 112.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6690…e6efbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Over | 51c | 95.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 51c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 50c | 77.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…12a8backed Over | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Under | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b7…704ebacked Over | 51c | 72.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d86…112cbacked Over | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 50c | 57.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Over | 52c | 57.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 50c | 57.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Over | 43c | 53.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…f932backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 49c | 49.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…9467backed Under | 48c | 48.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 45.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…8000backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a9…728ebacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…786cbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…ce53backed Under | 50c | 35.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…d031backed Under | 49c | 29.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 27.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 53c | 26.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…61debacked Under | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Under | 49c | 22.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Under | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Under | 50c | 20.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -11.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Clippers vs. PistonsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.