Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Kei Nishikori
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd96877a43194eaf0315558b0a979e8aa2353b59301c764a95f11e6bab8b72e63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rafael Jodarof Rafael Jodar, Kei Nishikori
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $383,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $434,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kei Nishikori | 11c | 23,073$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.32 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Kei Nishikori | 18c | 19,614$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.36 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kei Nishikori | 5c | 18,786$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.13 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Kei Nishikori | 17c | 18,043$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.74 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kei Nishikori | 15c | 17,423$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.4 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Kei Nishikori | 17c | 15,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Kei Nishikori | 16c | 15,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.98 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kei Nishikori | 8c | 12,417$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.31 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Kei Nishikori | 10c | 9,084$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.25 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kei Nishikori | 17c | 8,202$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.29 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kei Nishikori | 15c | 8,088$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.84 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 8,020$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.65 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kei Nishikori | 16c | 6,064$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.07 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 5,555$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Kei Nishikori | 16c | 5,445$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.64 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 5,000$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.69 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked Kei Nishikori | 17c | 4,775$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.75 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Kei Nishikori | 24c | 4,000$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.42 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kei Nishikori | 16c | 3,648$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.65 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Kei Nishikori | 17c | 3,600$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kei Nishikori | 16c | 3,581$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Kei Nishikori | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 2,704$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.68 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Kei Nishikori | 20c | 2,466$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…7169backed Kei Nishikori | 16c | 2,410$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.68 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 2,333$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.41 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kei Nishikori | 16c | 2,122$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.72 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kei Nishikori | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kei Nishikori | 19c | 1,779$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.85 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed Kei Nishikori | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Kei Nishikori | 17c | 1,709$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.49 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Kei Nishikori | 15c | 1,615$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.28 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kei Nishikori | 17c | 1,540$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.8 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kei Nishikori | 18c | 1,284$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.87 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…d00fbacked Kei Nishikori | 13c | 1,183$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.61 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Kei Nishikori | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Kei Nishikori | 6c | 989.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Kei Nishikori | 6c | 952.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1245…e0afbacked Kei Nishikori | 19c | 866.53$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 788.89$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Kei Nishikori | 17c | 749.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Kei Nishikori | 15c | 731.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Kei Nishikori | 19c | 684.16$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Kei Nishikori | 8c | 595.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kei Nishikori | 19c | 513.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kei Nishikori | 11c | 511.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Kei Nishikori | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kei Nishikori | 17c | 455.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 372.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e4…68bebacked Kei Nishikori | 17c | 371.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Kei Nishikori | 17c | 364.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Kei Nishikori | 16c | 360$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 359.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…1e57backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 341.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…30f2backed Kei Nishikori | 11c | 299.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kei Nishikori | 17c | 291.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kei Nishikori | 18c | 278$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Kei Nishikori | 19c | 266.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Kei Nishikori | 17c | 239.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kei Nishikori | 18c | 220.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Kei Nishikori | 13c | 197.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Kei Nishikori | 22c | 175.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Kei Nishikori | 17c | 168.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Kei Nishikori | 17c | 168.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…31b8backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 153.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kei Nishikori | 19c | 150.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 148.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 284 | 42.3%120 W · 164 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…8fc0backed Kei Nishikori | 16c | 138$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 130.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 130.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Kei Nishikori | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Rafael Jodar | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kei Nishikori | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Kei Nishikori | 16c | 98.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…e96cbacked Kei Nishikori | 11c | 93.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Kei Nishikori | 17c | 91.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Kei Nishikori | 16c | 91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444d…a5fcbacked Kei Nishikori | 12c | 87.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…e244backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 85.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Kei Nishikori | 18c | 73.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0765…9e3fbacked Kei Nishikori | 18c | 71.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…ebdcbacked Kei Nishikori | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Kei Nishikori | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Rafael Jodar | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…7982backed Kei Nishikori | 23c | 46.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…7379backed Rafael Jodar | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 180 | 68.9%124 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Kei Nishikorithis page
- Jodar vs. Nishikori: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs NishikoriJodar won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Nishikori (+1.5)Jodar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.