Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba098ff5a890a37f9fc33e1a46f51a7d0dcdbbb71f86708ee39a53ae8742955b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Baezof Sebastian Baez, Grigor Dimitrov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $444,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $505,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Sebastian Baez | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,999.96 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Grigor Dimitrov | 53c | 31,797$16,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,968.22 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…8145backed Grigor Dimitrov | 67c | 24,179$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200.04 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 59c | 22,986$13,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,631.16 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Sebastian Baez | 64c | 15,201$9,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,476.64 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Grigor Dimitrov | 58c | 14,546$8,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,398.44 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Sebastian Baez | 39c | 12,500$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,624.99 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Grigor Dimitrov | 59c | 12,366$7,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,271.81 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 58c | 12,046$7,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,046.85 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Sebastian Baez | 29c | 11,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,780 | 527 | 44.6%235 W · 292 L | +30.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Sebastian Baez | 72c | 10,142$7,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.75 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sebastian Baez | 45c | 7,345$3,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,041.24 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Grigor Dimitrov | 69c | 6,861$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.9 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Sebastian Baez | 51c | 6,835$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.18 | 220 | 62.7%138 W · 82 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Grigor Dimitrov | 53c | 6,720$3,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.68 | 647 | 53.9%349 W · 298 L | +32.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…1f9cbacked Sebastian Baez | 15c | 6,250$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Sebastian Baez | 49c | 5,366$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.67 | 1,318 | 43.6%574 W · 744 L | -23.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Sebastian Baez | 50c | 5,179$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.7 | 2,004 | 53.2%1,067 W · 937 L | +52.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Grigor Dimitrov | 61c | 4,972$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.54 | 1,143 | 46.4%530 W · 613 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Grigor Dimitrov | 57c | 4,943$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.74 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grigor Dimitrov | 59c | 4,382$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.79 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Sebastian Baez | 39c | 4,154$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.56 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 59c | 3,400$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006 | 1,013 | 50.1%508 W · 505 L | +36.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sebastian Baez | 41c | 3,154$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.18 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…cf29backed Sebastian Baez | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +110%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Sebastian Baez | 46c | 2,391$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.3 | 691 | 41.1%284 W · 407 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sebastian Baez | 36c | 2,329$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.04 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 60c | 2,103$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.31 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grigor Dimitrov | 67c | 2,091$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.49 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…a90fbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Grigor Dimitrov | 64c | 1,936$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.19 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Sebastian Baez | 72c | 1,890$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.29 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Sebastian Baez | 41c | 1,785$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.93 | 1,505 | 37.7%568 W · 937 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Grigor Dimitrov | 71c | 1,720$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.51 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sebastian Baez | 42c | 1,591$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.3 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Grigor Dimitrov | 51c | 1,489$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Grigor Dimitrov | 35c | 1,412$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.38 | 539 | 42.1%227 W · 312 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69cd…d48dbacked Sebastian Baez | 42c | 1,273$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Grigor Dimitrov | 60c | 1,229$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.67 | 1,001 | 54.9%550 W · 451 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 58c | 1,196$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.52 | 644 | 55.3%356 W · 288 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…1b54backed Sebastian Baez | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 58c | 1,152$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.38 | 1,692 | 48.8%826 W · 866 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Grigor Dimitrov | 61c | 1,147$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.79 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Sebastian Baez | 19c | 1,061$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.61 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…9050backed Sebastian Baez | 19c | 1,061$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.61 | 126 | 32.5%41 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Sebastian Baez | 41c | 1,005$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.74 | 785 | 40.6%319 W · 466 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Sebastian Baez | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 530 | 44.9%238 W · 292 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2f…5914backed Sebastian Baez | 42c | 967.95$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Grigor Dimitrov | 58c | 967.1$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.92 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…7169backed Sebastian Baez | 13c | 899.97$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.97 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Sebastian Baez | 21c | 833.33$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.33 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Sebastian Baez | 42c | 792.86$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.86 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Sebastian Baez | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Sebastian Baez | 21c | 765.82$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.85 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grigor Dimitrov | 12c | 750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Sebastian Baez | 50c | 745.5$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.95 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Sebastian Baez | 11c | 733.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.21 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Sebastian Baez | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 459 | 35.5%163 W · 296 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sebastian Baez | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Sebastian Baez | 24c | 700$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.79 | 943 | 47.7%450 W · 493 L | +35.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 72c | 680$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.32 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…d87cbacked Sebastian Baez | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Sebastian Baez | 50c | 662.27$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.7 | 874 | 50.6%442 W · 432 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sebastian Baez | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Sebastian Baez | 17c | 589.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.04 | 365 | 21.6%79 W · 286 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Sebastian Baez | 53c | 567.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.89 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…3d9bbacked Sebastian Baez | 26c | 560.61$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.61 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sebastian Baez | 49c | 559.82$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.7 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Sebastian Baez | 41c | 559.2$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.93 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…f4aabacked Sebastian Baez | 42c | 542.86$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.86 | 364 | 48.9%178 W · 186 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Grigor Dimitrov | 60c | 541.67$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Grigor Dimitrov | 58c | 540$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.6 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Sebastian Baez | 43c | 522.12$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.71 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Grigor Dimitrov | 59c | 506.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.81 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 452 | 51.5%233 W · 219 L | -21.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Sebastian Baez | 46c | 479.72$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.05 | 669 | 38.9%260 W · 409 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Sebastian Baez | 35c | 470.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.29 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d72ebacked Sebastian Baez | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Sebastian Baez | 15c | 466.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.57 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Sebastian Baez | 44c | 457.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.67 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Sebastian Baez | 35c | 457.12$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.13 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b96…cea8backed Sebastian Baez | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.55 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Sebastian Baez | 43c | 437.79$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.54 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…4be3backed Grigor Dimitrov | 61c | 430.29$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 60c | 412$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.66 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Sebastian Baez | 33c | 400$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Grigor Dimitrov | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Grigor Dimitrov | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Grigor Dimitrov | 65c | 398.45$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.5 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9538…96f4backed Sebastian Baez | 15c | 394.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.41 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Grigor Dimitrov | 63c | 394.24$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.37 | 258 | 63.2%163 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5da…5fb9backed Sebastian Baez | 27c | 386.36$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.36 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…663ebacked Sebastian Baez | 33c | 378.79$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.79 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Sebastian Baez | 42c | 333$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Grigor Dimitrov | 68c | 329.94$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.95 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Sebastian Baez | 33c | 329$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.82 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Grigor Dimitrov | 49c | 328.16$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 433 | 45%195 W · 238 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…a555backed Sebastian Baez | 19c | 318.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.18 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Sebastian Baez | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 245 | 62%152 W · 93 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…f4f1backed Sebastian Baez | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrovthis page
- Baez vs. Dimitrov: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Baez vs DimitrovDimitrov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.