Earnings · resolved market
Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dcd63b033ab12c017c52d948353dfcdab4d238fd4b7d7d597ec1c703b4772be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed82…8fcbbacked Yes | 78c | 1,694$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 11c | 1,310$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.18 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…713abacked No | 16c | 999.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.98 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 11c | 913.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.25 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…ad18backed No | 21c | 891.11$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +309.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…36cdbacked Yes | 79c | 719.98$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.19 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…c6e0backed No | 26c | 667.73$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +283.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…ef5bbacked No | 16c | 650.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +1,203.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…974ebacked Yes | 79c | 649.92$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.44 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 72c | 634.59$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 9c | 612.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.95 | 760 | 37.6%286 W · 474 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +219.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…e003backed No | 23c | 581.22$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +330.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked No | 20c | 567.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.96 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked No | 12c | 555$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 11cpaid | +215.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed No | 19c | 464.52$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +1,113.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…5c52backed No | 23c | 438.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77dd…fc49backed No | 18c | 396.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.31per pick | 14cpaid | +265%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…2e0fbacked No | 38c | 380$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…55ecbacked Yes | 62c | 380$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed No | 20c | 357.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.18 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…70a6backed No | 30c | 348.63$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +170%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 12c | 319$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada9…57e1backed No | 21c | 309.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked No | 24c | 300.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 9c | 300$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 21c | 296.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 342 | 37.1%127 W · 215 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 21c | 282.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.88 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 17c | 250.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.14 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…cb80backed Yes | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…a1a4backed No | 24c | 203.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked No | 24c | 201.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.03 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a50…9e46backed No | 20c | 199.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 17c | 198.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…b3d5backed No | 27c | 181.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +263.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 17c | 181.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.16 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 18c | 178.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.38 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed No | 13c | 156.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed9b…e8acbacked No | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 76c | 150$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…78d7backed Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 14c | 139.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.37 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 16c | 134.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.84 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 17c | 130.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…8c81backed Yes | 73c | 127.92$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…9296backed Yes | 79c | 125.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…034abacked Yes | 80c | 125.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…c84dbacked Yes | 79c | 108.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…6f76backed No | 19c | 107.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +435.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3799…cd36backed No | 19c | 107.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…7274backed No | 16c | 104.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +762%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…1f5fbacked No | 22c | 103.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +351%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf973…2593backed No | 21c | 101.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd4…d37abacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 15cpaid | +717.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77d9…941abacked No | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +163%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 79c | 95.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…002dbacked No | 23c | 90.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…7c00backed No | 23c | 87.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +339.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…6329backed No | 27c | 74.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +273.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…7cd2backed No | 17c | 70.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed No | 22c | 70.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…252ebacked No | 29c | 68.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +243.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe336…44dcbacked No | 20c | 68.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +647.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…bdccbacked No | 21c | 67.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed Yes | 76c | 65.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 21c | 65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 22c | 59.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +358.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…8cb4backed Yes | 75c | 53.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…cf1abacked No | 21c | 52.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 80c | 51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 79c | 49.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 578 | 38.9%225 W · 353 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked No | 35c | 43.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…4e84backed Yes | 80c | 42.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c62fbacked Yes | 58c | 39.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…e41bbacked Yes | 80c | 33.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 66c | 31.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253c…aa0bbacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Yes | 79c | 25.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…1d69backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…54f0backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…43efbacked Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…5e39backed Yes | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca4…c1b0backed Yes | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.