TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf94f…78d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Valorant, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick6cpaid+361.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$241.83
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 16 above $185?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+3,233.3%+$3,346.5
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$53.41
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17.19
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$33.42
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$93.18
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16.68
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$26.13
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of December 22 above $100?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$59.5
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 22 above $500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 22 above $510?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of December 22 above $215?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+900%+$502.2
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of December 22 above $210?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+1,566.7%+$313.96
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid+212.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick7cpaid+852.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: 2GAME (-1.5) vs Equipe Caos (+1.5)backed 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$39.3
Valorant: Joblife vs WIP Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+1,328.6%+$174.84
Valorant: Barça eSports vs DNSTY (BO2)backed Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+1,328.6%+$511.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick5cpaid+733.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: EYE (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$469.14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$44.45
Counter-Strike: Team StRoGo vs Team zoneR - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team StRoGo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+2,400%+$768
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SIUE Cougars vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks (W)backed SIUE Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$38.88
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-38.5)backed Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+1,900%+$1,192.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick20cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$558
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$38.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,729Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+426.3%+$7,371.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sleigh Ride - The Ronettes be in the Billboard Top 10 for the week of January 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+127.3%+$715.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gran Canaria vs. Bilbao Basketbacked Gran Canaria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$524.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ranji Trophy: Vidarbha vs Uttar Pradesh (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?backed Vidarbha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$484.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$842.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Latonya Reeves be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$105.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$4,088
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.