Euroleague · resolved market
Gran Canaria vs. Bilbao Basket
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x347effc91f2fd6f4b80e8525cf8dc3bdbc6c74f3902724022bbd693145ca9314
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilbao Basketof Gran Canaria, Bilbao Basket
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf94f…78d7backed Gran Canaria | 7c | 7,488$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…61adbacked Gran Canaria | 11c | 2,640$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gran Canaria | 28c | 677.48$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bilbao Basket | 35c | 519$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.36 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Bilbao Basket | 13c | 400.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.76 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 11cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Bilbao Basket | 7c | 400$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bilbao Basket | 69c | 380.27$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bilbao Basket | 9c | 313.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.35 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed Bilbao Basket | 37c | 270.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gran Canaria | 64c | 252.14$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.31 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Gran Canaria | 63c | 158.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Gran Canaria | 63c | 143.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Bilbao Basket | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…f36fbacked Gran Canaria | 62c | 130$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Bilbao Basket | 38c | 115.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…a48dbacked Bilbao Basket | 37c | 108.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bilbao Basket | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bilbao Basket | 36c | 99.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Gran Canaria | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked Gran Canaria | 63c | 83.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Gran Canaria | 28c | 81.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Gran Canaria | 63c | 81.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Gran Canaria | 63c | 79.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Gran Canaria | 65c | 77.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Bilbao Basket | 28c | 68.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bilbao Basket | 37c | 61.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Gran Canaria | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Gran Canaria | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Gran Canaria | 70c | 43.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bilbao Basket | 42c | 37.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Bilbao Basket | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Gran Canaria | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2874…1a77backed Bilbao Basket | 76c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.