Australian A League · resolved market
Will Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2cf092b75ef5bdbb684589fd866fac81233393d7a8ba234d7e0ae2264499a8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf94f…78d7backed Yes | 19c | 9,100$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,371.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 13c | 2,250$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 1,564$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.82 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 17c | 1,372$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.76 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 16c | 953.96$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.67 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 63c | 851.71$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee5…00fcbacked Yes | 30c | 851.71$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 9c | 347.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.22 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 77c | 296.65$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 16c | 260$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +394%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 46c | 219.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…cfeebacked Yes | 27c | 218.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 31c | 197.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.71 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Yes | 8c | 190$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +599.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 27c | 186$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.78 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 11c | 181.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.74 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 20c | 149.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.32 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 32c | 126.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +187.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 94.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 26c | 75.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…fe42backed Yes | 24c | 68.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +312.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.53per pick | 69cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 69c | 65.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 25c | 54.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Yes | 78c | 30.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 68c | 14.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-23?No won
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-01-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.