Australian A League · resolved market
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf8bba14c09ee5a66d8a446e4864467367adcf2d9c5bb5741b6224d6baa7e317
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 12c | 18,632$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,479.61 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb197…91c6backed Yes | 71c | 5,699$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,054.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 4,377$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 42c | 1,253$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.25 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,085$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.78 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 74c | 801$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.74 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 26c | 644.54$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.26 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 70c | 562.53$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 41c | 554.41$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.87 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 74c | 542$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.38 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 73c | 510.57$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.24 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 30c | 499.22$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.61 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 17c | 378.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.55 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…254ebacked Yes | 58c | 201.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.87 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 73c | 177.73$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 63c | 156.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…688abacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Yes | 66c | 151$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 34c | 149.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976b…cf45backed Yes | 75c | 140.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed No | 22c | 130$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +349.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Yes | 67c | 127.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…b35dbacked Yes | 65c | 123.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 77c | 103.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…420abacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Yes | 75c | 97.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 75cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a1…2957backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 40c | 86.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 65c | 77.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 25c | 61.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 72c | 59.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 28c | 54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 77c | 54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked No | 35c | 50.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed Yes | 54c | 48.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 67c | 44.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 74c | 39.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 75c | 28.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b31…733bbacked Yes | 53c | 27.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 72c | 26.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.53per pick | 69cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 61c | 21.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 74c | 18.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-23?this page
- Will Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-01-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.