TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Brisbane International: Kamil Majchrzak vs Reilly Opelka

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Majchrzakof Majchrzak, Opelka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$263,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,262 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Opelka54c14,792$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00010444.2%46 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Majchrzak41c14,401$5,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,499.11,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2663…fa3bbacked Opelka54c14,188$7,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,680.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Majchrzak45c8,374$3,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,631.232,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Opelka59c7,211$4,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,222.884647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Opelka63c6,056$3,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,812.912,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Majchrzak40c5,715$2,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,432.428,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Majchrzak46c5,555$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.73268.8%22 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Majchrzak51c5,042$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Majchrzak51c4,555$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.9515765.6%103 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Majchrzak45c4,356$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.191,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Majchrzak47c4,106$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.5511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Opelka58c3,851$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250.0215447.4%73 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Majchrzak49c3,663$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.1218237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Opelka53c3,500$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.844360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Opelka54c2,741$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.1413852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Opelka52c2,674$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.446855.9%38 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Majchrzak50c2,627$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.576549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Opelka51c2,417$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.931647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Majchrzak50c2,365$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.2910443.3%45 W · 59 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Opelka56c2,330$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3005349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Majchrzak46c2,100$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.9619241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Majchrzak46c2,008$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.173868.4%26 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Opelka4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Opelka48c1,936$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.2144754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd6…8577backed Majchrzak56c1,900$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83611242.9%48 W · 64 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed Opelka50c1,895$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.333046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3602…41dbbacked Opelka50c1,861$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Opelka55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Opelka55c1,817$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.459151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Opelka53c1,754$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.771,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Opelka72c1,594$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.196043.3%26 W · 34 L-9.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Majchrzak65c1,548$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.174,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b7…dbdabacked Opelka53c1,427$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.731070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Opelka19c1,380$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.2210815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+248.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Opelka6c1,357$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.348713.8%12 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Opelka66c1,340$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.447,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Opelka55c1,300$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71867249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Opelka50c1,191$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60028444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Opelka53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Majchrzak49c1,009$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.822,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Opelka55c1,005$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.758639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Majchrzak50c1,002$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.4741645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Majchrzak25c999.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.9981938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Majchrzak54c989.95$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.1410252%53 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Opelka51c981.57$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.69741.2%40 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Opelka3c950$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.351085.6%6 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Opelka53c946.67$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.7414750.3%74 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82f7…7496backed Opelka62c935.97$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Majchrzak48c840.5$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.891,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Majchrzak44c800$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44846649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Majchrzak47c793.62$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.6233241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Opelka53c771.21$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.162,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Majchrzak47c719.51$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.082,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc650…2a3ebacked Opelka51c710.12$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Majchrzak51c701.33$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.264247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Majchrzak44c619.41$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.592,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Majchrzak50c597.5$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.522744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Opelka47c566.13$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.57521.3%16 W · 59 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-62.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Opelka56c549.3$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30612752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Opelka75c533.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001560%9 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…f788backed Majchrzak45c526.78$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.93450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Majchrzak24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3802142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefe8…fe1abacked Majchrzak35c500$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Opelka52c491.59$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9780938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Opelka56c488.05$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2722748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Opelka52c484.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506159%36 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Majchrzak23c474.52$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.3812631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Opelka76c458.01$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502231.8%7 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-42.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Opelka60c457.96$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.631,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff72…512bbacked Majchrzak47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.536833.8%23 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Opelka61c424.15$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26019129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Majchrzak49c412.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.2463247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Majchrzak50c409.96$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9845147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Opelka50c404.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.229762.9%61 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Majchrzak41c403.26$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.7925542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Majchrzak46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Majchrzak25c399.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.991136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+68.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Opelka53c380.72$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8518166.9%121 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Majchrzak27c373.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.223745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Opelka44c372.32$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8675748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Majchrzak47c370.93$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.366,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Opelka51c354.51$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.336250%31 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Majchrzak47c352.75$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7526158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Majchrzak37c345$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.824340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Majchrzak55c338.16$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1712627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Opelka53c325.61$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17449749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Majchrzak37c313.62$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6412335%43 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Opelka76c311.41$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.677365.8%48 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2b…b582backed Opelka66c310.95$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Majchrzak46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16222840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Majchrzak44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1689857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3d…f572backed Opelka49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+156.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8f…178abacked Majchrzak57c294.82$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.77650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Majchrzak49c277$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2712735.4%45 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Opelka52c268.86$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0415961%97 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Majchrzak57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.168243.9%36 W · 46 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Majchrzak50c261.8$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.243930.8%12 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Opelka75c252.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.742254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Opelka40c250.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.