Earnings · resolved market
Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2b5ba1688887a69d18aebeee1385dd996aa1e71514acebf163b986fc0f820f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1693…974ebacked No | 59c | 1,684$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.31 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 34c | 1,593$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.43 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe40…30f2backed No | 31c | 1,438$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.97 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 8c | 1,259$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…bf60backed No | 35c | 1,019$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 23c | 999.63$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.88 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 62c | 639.54$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.77 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 51c | 505.66$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.19 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…713abacked No | 30c | 497.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 491.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.6 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 12c | 456.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…cfafbacked Yes | 60c | 415$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd80…1266backed No | 50c | 398.32$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 39c | 392.07$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.41 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed No | 27c | 382.72$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.44 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…3807backed Yes | 48c | 349.41$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed Yes | 49c | 308.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c10…336cbacked No | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 21c | 299.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.89 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…46c4backed Yes | 78c | 298.62$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…0139backed Yes | 75c | 285.56$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…e220backed Yes | 79c | 255.96$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +273.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Yes | 62c | 234.12$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 30c | 213.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.7 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed No | 20c | 200.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.42 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…ee92backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 79c | 199.98$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.98 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…1ae1backed Yes | 77c | 188.34$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 21c | 168.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.27 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed No | 35c | 164.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 66c | 164.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked Yes | 44c | 162.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…e862backed No | 45c | 153.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa345…4f54backed Yes | 37c | 151$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 26c | 150.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.04 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…ad59backed Yes | 74c | 135.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked No | 41c | 130.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…63b8backed Yes | 77c | 129.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…dd0fbacked No | 16c | 124.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 53c | 114.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 30c | 103.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…1f67backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…74dabacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +249.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7a…7839backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +234.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d21…df94backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 14c | 94.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 23c | 91.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 207 | 42%87 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 72c | 89.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71be…61a0backed Yes | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…fe84backed Yes | 77c | 82.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7e87backed Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad9…6044backed Yes | 79c | 80$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596d…dde6backed Yes | 66c | 76.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb65…3115backed No | 22c | 74.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…80c8backed No | 37c | 73.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a764backed Yes | 77c | 71.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…de5fbacked Yes | 77c | 70$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc965…5aeabacked No | 24c | 69.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb905…1640backed Yes | 80c | 68.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e87…5b81backed No | 32c | 67.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 16c | 63.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 20c | 61.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 67c | 60.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…d493backed Yes | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 67c | 59.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xece2…f453backed Yes | 75c | 58.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 70c | 58.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…0e12backed Yes | 70c | 56.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 28c | 52.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…1132backed Yes | 80c | 50.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 74c | 50.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…24d2backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…0a65backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…3324backed Yes | 79c | 48.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…5f1cbacked No | 34c | 48.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 61c | 47.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9728…0314backed No | 29c | 47.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +199.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked No | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…6dd5backed Yes | 78c | 42.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89d…d615backed Yes | 72c | 42.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…9858backed Yes | 61c | 41.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 51c | 41.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…af64backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed Yes | 70c | 35.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 36c | 33.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…7014backed Yes | 77c | 28.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b1…6a6dbacked Yes | 67c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5780…dd00backed Yes | 77c | 26.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…c75cbacked Yes | 79c | 25.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab1e…db2abacked Yes | 74c | 23.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c4…909dbacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…405fbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…b50ebacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.