NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88811ebc0ad39cb09053d1ed0be51a1c08116bed08918649172f119e49b552bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 45c | 6,887$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 5,261$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Pelicans | 54c | 4,611$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 3,983$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.46 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans | 48c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,536$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.47 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,308$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.46 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,173$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.77 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,073$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.58 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 47c | 918.43$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pelicans | 52c | 471.26$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.06 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pelicans | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Pelicans | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Pelicans | 50c | 182.18$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans | 48c | 181.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 171.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Pelicans | 55c | 125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 76.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Pelicans | 49c | 68.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…8696backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Pelicans | 54c | 36.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 35.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Pelicans | 50c | 29.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Pelicans | 42c | 28.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Pelicans | 54c | 27.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Pelicans | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…0ce4backed Pelicans | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…baf0backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. PelicansTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.