Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Clara Tauson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x283639dace0deceeec9a122f12c78751bbcfa47b5b70673b0ba5ea97dcb52ed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sasnovichof Tauson, Sasnovich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tauson | 34c | 2,932$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sasnovich | 52c | 2,761$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.45 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Tauson | 62c | 2,179$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.12 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Tauson | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sasnovich | 67c | 1,395$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Sasnovich | 66c | 1,212$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.12 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sasnovich | 66c | 1,116$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.26 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sasnovich | 68c | 1,084$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.17 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Sasnovich | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sasnovich | 69c | 964.97$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.09 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sasnovich | 43c | 891.51$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.13 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sasnovich | 70c | 770.13$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.54 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tauson | 61c | 699.99$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tauson | 62c | 653$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.76 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…47cbbacked Tauson | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sasnovich | 70c | 499.31$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.09 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164e…c2a2backed Tauson | 35c | 484.66$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.13 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Tauson | 31c | 421.85$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.67 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Sasnovich | 80c | 369.09$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Tauson | 34c | 328.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Tauson | 32c | 312.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Tauson | 33c | 303.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Tauson | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…0890backed Tauson | 13c | 299.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Sasnovich | 37c | 270.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.26 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Tauson | 63c | 257.9$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tauson | 39c | 251.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Sasnovich | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Sasnovich | 37c | 240.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sasnovich | 64c | 223.78$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sasnovich | 53c | 214.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Tauson | 61c | 181$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Tauson | 63c | 157.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Tauson | 31c | 147.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Tauson | 56c | 146.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6b…c667backed Sasnovich | 67c | 138.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Tauson | 61c | 138$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Tauson | 34c | 135$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Tauson | 62c | 128$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Sasnovich | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Tauson | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Tauson | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Sasnovich | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…8696backed Tauson | 52c | 96.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Tauson | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…9ff7backed Tauson | 37c | 69.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Tauson | 31c | 67.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tauson | 18c | 65.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Tauson | 35c | 64.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0403…3658backed Tauson | 34c | 63.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Sasnovich | 61c | 59.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Sasnovich | 36c | 58.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Tauson | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…b219backed Tauson | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Tauson | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Sasnovich | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Sasnovich | 39c | 49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Sasnovich | 38c | 49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sasnovich | 36c | 48.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Sasnovich | 39c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Sasnovich | 39c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Sasnovich | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Sasnovich | 38c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4d…575dbacked Tauson | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Tauson | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Sasnovich | 39c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +58%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Tauson | 57c | 35.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Tauson | 34c | 30.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Sasnovich | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa523…d782backed Sasnovich | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Tauson | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…8b0cbacked Sasnovich | 76c | 29.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Sasnovich | 39c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Tauson | 62c | 21.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…840bbacked Sasnovich | 66c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Tauson | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Sasnovich | 69c | 15.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -12.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.