NFL · resolved market
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35b406f92a2839272afa45ef1edce3d7f64df5451d2bce04804943221eae9551
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Broncos, Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $482,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $480,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Broncos | 55c | 318,062$176,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,947.07 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Chargers | 44c | 111,594$48,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,637.48 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Chargers | 45c | 103,390$46,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,452.25 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Broncos | 58c | 60,000$34,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,199.99 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Chargers | 43c | 32,184$13,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.26 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Chargers | 46c | 27,016$12,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,298.25 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Chargers | 45c | 24,192$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.3wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chargers | 43c | 22,500$9,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,725 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Chargers | 45c | 20,902$9,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,405.7 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Chargers | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chargers | 42c | 17,416$7,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,287.32 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Broncos | 55c | 15,610$8,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,024.47 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Broncos | 60c | 15,000$8,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,034.86 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Chargers | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Broncos | 55c | 9,743$5,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,384.46 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Chargers | 43c | 8,270$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.4 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Chargers | 45c | 7,777$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.65 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chargers | 44c | 6,611$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.98 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Broncos | 47c | 5,660$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.73 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Chargers | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Chargers | 42c | 3,174$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Chargers | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Chargers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Chargers | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Chargers | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Chargers | 45c | 1,100$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Chargers | 42c | 1,028$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.76 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Chargers | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Chargers | 42c | 983.33$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Chargers | 45c | 962.38$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Chargers | 53c | 942.23$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.09 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Chargers | 47c | 799.99$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.99 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Broncos | 59c | 785.25$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.05 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Broncos | 59c | 713$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.33 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Chargers | 42c | 705$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.1 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Broncos | 54c | 677$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.05 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Chargers | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Chargers | 41c | 550$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Chargers | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Chargers | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb905…1640backed Chargers | 35c | 452.53$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Chargers | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Broncos | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…53fabacked Chargers | 45c | 372.22$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…1c95backed Chargers | 40c | 279.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Chargers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Chargers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Broncos | 53c | 214.19$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Chargers | 42c | 204$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Broncos | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Chargers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Broncos | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Broncos | 55c | 196$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Broncos | 53c | 189.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Broncos | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Chargers | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Broncos | 15c | 147.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.75 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Broncos | 56c | 125.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…a42bbacked Chargers | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Chargers | 44c | 117.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Chargers | 41c | 116$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chargers | 44c | 111.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Broncos | 63c | 108.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…17dcbacked Chargers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…79a8backed Chargers | 45c | 105.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d9…1c24backed Chargers | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…29c2backed Chargers | 45c | 103.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…8469backed Broncos | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Broncos | 56c | 91.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…c411backed Broncos | 54c | 74.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Broncos | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Chargers | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Chargers | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Chargers | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Chargers | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Broncos | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Chargers | 42c | 47.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Broncos | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Broncos | 56c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…273bbacked Broncos | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Chargers | 47c | 42.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed Broncos | 67c | 35.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…8696backed Chargers | 48c | 35.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Chargers | 41c | 34.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Chargers | 46c | 32.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc084…a34fbacked Chargers | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Broncos | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Chargers | 48c | 29.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…63cbbacked Broncos | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chargers | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…c148backed Chargers | 46c | 22.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Chargers | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Broncos | 56c | 19.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Broncos (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-8.5)Chargers won
- Chargers vs. BroncosBroncos won
- Chargers vs. Broncos: 1H MoneylineBroncos won
- Chargers vs. Broncos: O/U 37.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Broncos: O/U 38.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Broncos: O/U 39.5Under won
- Spread: Broncos (-12.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-14.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-5.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-7.5)Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.