NFL · resolved market
Spread: Broncos (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d9c2e344e4ce08a182cebecfe977af6fed449fc11fe786472aaca4c4e1fa907
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Broncos, Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Broncos | 52c | 46,853$24,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,602.74 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Chargers | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,299.99 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Chargers | 48c | 24,673$11,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,872.28 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Chargers | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Broncos | 49c | 11,298$5,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,761.98 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Broncos | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Broncos | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chargers | 47c | 10,000$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Chargers | 48c | 5,417$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Broncos | 51c | 5,011$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.92 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Chargers | 49c | 4,617$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.16 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chargers | 55c | 3,560$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.99 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Broncos | 48c | 3,367$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.15 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Broncos | 45c | 3,133$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.17 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…6dd0backed Chargers | 48c | 2,660$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chargers | 48c | 2,539$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.12 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Chargers | 48c | 2,055$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.51 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Broncos | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chargers | 52c | 1,894$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.82 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Broncos | 49c | 1,614$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.14 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Chargers | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Chargers | 48c | 1,448$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.04 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…fe28backed Chargers | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Broncos | 51c | 844.9$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Broncos | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Broncos | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Chargers | 48c | 551.93$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.93 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Broncos | 49c | 420$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Broncos | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Broncos | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Broncos | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Chargers | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Broncos | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Chargers | 41c | 290.18$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.48 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Broncos | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Broncos | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Broncos | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Broncos | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Chargers | 48c | 182$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Broncos | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Broncos | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Broncos | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Broncos | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Broncos | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Broncos | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Broncos | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Broncos | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Broncos | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Broncos | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Broncos | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Broncos | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Broncos | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Broncos | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Broncos | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Broncos | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Broncos | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Broncos | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Chargers | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Chargers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Chargers | 48c | 87.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421c…6fa3backed Broncos | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Broncos | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Broncos | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cce…91f7backed Chargers | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Broncos | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Broncos | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Broncos | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Broncos | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Broncos | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +15.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Broncos | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Broncos | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Broncos | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +16.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Broncos | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Broncos | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Broncos | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +14.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Broncos | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Broncos | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Broncos | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Broncos | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Broncos | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +11.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Broncos | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Broncos | 50c | 59.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Chargers | 46c | 52.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Chargers | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Chargers | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Chargers | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Chargers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Chargers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Chargers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…153cbacked Chargers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Chargers | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Broncos | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Broncos | 33c | 38.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Broncos | 53c | 33.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Chargers | 52c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Broncos | 49c | 28.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Chargers | 51c | 25.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Broncos | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Broncos | 65c | 19.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…bd2fbacked Chargers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Broncos (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-8.5)Chargers won
- Chargers vs. BroncosBroncos won
- Chargers vs. Broncos: 1H MoneylineBroncos won
- Chargers vs. Broncos: O/U 37.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Broncos: O/U 38.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Broncos: O/U 39.5Under won
- Spread: Broncos (-12.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-13.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-5.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-7.5)Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.