Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Xinyu Wang vs Renata Zarazua
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7661a393e4d8ba3cf27e82491e3084dc4084930bc5f282b00e9234cd61266132
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wangof Wang, Zarazua
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zarazua | 8c | 4,102$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.12 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Wang | 68c | 3,073$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.35 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wang | 78c | 2,453$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.27 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Zarazua | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Zarazua | 34c | 1,517$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.13 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zarazua | 9c | 1,335$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zarazua | 20c | 1,273$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.71 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wang | 67c | 1,164$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.72 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zarazua | 33c | 1,057$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.8 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Zarazua | 5c | 1,020$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zarazua | 12c | 878.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Zarazua | 32c | 857.41$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.52 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Zarazua | 3c | 810$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Wang | 63c | 799.98$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.99 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…79e5backed Zarazua | 18c | 781$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zarazua | 6c | 780.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Zarazua | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Zarazua | 21c | 471.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Wang | 70c | 450$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…4c06backed Zarazua | 9c | 448.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…3edebacked Zarazua | 48c | 419.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Zarazua | 11c | 414.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e4…85b4backed Zarazua | 7c | 407.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Wang | 62c | 402.41$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Wang | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Zarazua | 5c | 382.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Zarazua | 6c | 381.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wang | 66c | 302.31$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.63 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Wang | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Zarazua | 31c | 240.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Zarazua | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…5a2dbacked Zarazua | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…0890backed Wang | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Zarazua | 43c | 195$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Zarazua | 31c | 187.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Zarazua | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Wang | 63c | 121.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Zarazua | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Wang | 62c | 111.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Wang | 69c | 102$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Zarazua | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Wang | 68c | 94.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Zarazua | 22c | 77.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…8696backed Wang | 69c | 72.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Wang | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Wang | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 659 | 59%389 W · 270 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Wang | 70c | 56.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Zarazua | 30c | 52.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Zarazua | 38c | 48.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…7a49backed Zarazua | 36c | 44.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Zarazua | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zarazua | 27c | 39.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…526dbacked Wang | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Zarazua | 33c | 36.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…1326backed Zarazua | 40c | 25.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Wang | 69c | 22.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…4adbbacked Wang | 58c | 20.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Wang | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Wang | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Wang | 64c | 19.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Xinyu Wang vs Renata Zarazuathis page
- Wang vs. Zarazua: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Wang vs. Zarazua: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.