NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18b54c000ad3a185f1d216d326a33f56c3b74f2d85f8aef7121c3adaefad64af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Warriors, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,471,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,332,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,471,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 655 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Warriors | 16c | 215,153$33,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,788.58 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038d…d484backed Warriors | 36c | 113,055$40,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,198.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Rockets | 61c | 98,671$59,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,732.76 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…0401backed Warriors | 35c | 89,950$31,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,780 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Warriors | 40c | 85,548$34,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,141.86 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Rockets | 61c | 80,000$48,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,500 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Warriors | 37c | 71,090$26,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,658.65 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Warriors | 39c | 51,648$20,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,142.49 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Warriors | 10c | 46,815$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.56 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rockets | 79c | 46,247$36,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,870.19 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Warriors | 35c | 33,432$11,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,543.86 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Warriors | 5c | 31,455$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.35 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,599.91 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Rockets | 79c | 28,555$22,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,855.64 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Warriors | 39c | 25,540$9,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,960.66 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Rockets | 62c | 23,283$14,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,847.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Rockets | 60c | 22,750$13,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,100.03 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Rockets | 64c | 14,270$9,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,195.02 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 61c | 14,024$8,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,447.17 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Rockets | 62c | 13,500$8,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Warriors | 1c | 13,416$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Warriors | 0c | 12,832$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Rockets | 60c | 12,368$7,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,947.2 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors | 39c | 11,636$4,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,521.58 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Warriors | 30c | 11,478$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.5 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Rockets | 70c | 10,810$7,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.89 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Rockets | 77c | 9,646$7,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.33 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Warriors | 39c | 9,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Rockets | 74c | 8,909$6,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.35 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca9…bef1backed Warriors | 42c | 8,774$3,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d75…74a5backed Warriors | 12c | 8,499$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Warriors | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Warriors | 14c | 8,000$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.65 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Rockets | 59c | 8,000$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.98 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 67c | 7,763$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Rockets | 69c | 7,762$5,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.55 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Warriors | 42c | 7,017$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…f308backed Warriors | 40c | 6,997$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…e722backed Warriors | 1c | 6,800$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rockets | 61c | 6,214$3,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.38 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…6291backed Warriors | 8c | 6,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…4513backed Rockets | 61c | 5,738$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rockets | 76c | 5,614$4,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.91 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Rockets | 66c | 5,479$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.6 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Warriors | 39c | 5,415$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Warriors | 9c | 5,406$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.61 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Warriors | 38c | 5,258$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Warriors | 22c | 5,239$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.51 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Rockets | 62c | 5,167$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.45 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 3c | 5,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockets | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Warriors | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Rockets | 69c | 4,883$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.35 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Warriors | 20c | 4,167$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Warriors | 7c | 3,805$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 69c | 3,770$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Warriors | 28c | 3,760$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.16 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Warriors | 1c | 3,600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Rockets | 73c | 3,511$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.52 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Warriors | 1c | 3,372$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Warriors | 1c | 3,179$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Rockets | 60c | 3,009$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.61 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rockets | 78c | 2,888$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.36 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Warriors | 10c | 2,635$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.47 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Warriors | 30c | 2,618$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.29 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Rockets | 62c | 2,600$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Warriors | 22c | 2,555$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.8 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Warriors | 1c | 2,548$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Warriors | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Warriors | 39c | 2,362$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Warriors | 18c | 2,200$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.5 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Warriors | 1c | 2,189$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Warriors | 2c | 2,134$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 40c | 2,100$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f3…a7dbbacked Warriors | 5c | 2,100$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…4623backed Warriors | 41c | 2,089$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Rockets | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Rockets | 61c | 2,000$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 58c | 2,000$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.45 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…523abacked Rockets | 70c | 1,917$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Warriors | 13c | 1,794$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.94 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Warriors | 4c | 1,786$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Warriors | 17c | 1,777$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.79 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d67…1fa5backed Warriors | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…4988backed Warriors | 29c | 1,670$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockets | 61c | 1,622$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.67 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Warriors | 6c | 1,622$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Warriors | 1c | 1,605$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Rockets | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rockets | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Warriors | 32c | 1,555$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Rockets | 80c | 1,515$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.94 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Warriors | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Warriors | 41c | 1,348$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.48 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…62a4backed Warriors | 2c | 1,320$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…22ecbacked Warriors | 8c | 1,300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rockets | 62c | 1,288$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.63 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…4e9bbacked Warriors | 38c | 1,264$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.42 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.