NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9de3f2e59a793a847499672ccf4186db7bb57e653dd2af117a5f33ca9c1e41da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Blues, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4219…850ebacked Capitals | 60c | 22,397$13,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,438.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Blues | 40c | 16,789$6,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,082.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Blues | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.94 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 60c | 5,255$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.93 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5043backed Capitals | 61c | 4,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…d5abbacked Blues | 40c | 3,995$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Blues | 40c | 3,314$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.47 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Capitals | 11c | 3,309$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.66 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…b3c6backed Capitals | 60c | 2,904$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f01…4dc0backed Capitals | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…3f66backed Blues | 40c | 2,398$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blues | 39c | 2,380$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.63 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Capitals | 8c | 2,327$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.14 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Blues | 41c | 2,126$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.93 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blues | 38c | 2,001$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.29 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blues | 41c | 1,803$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.65 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Capitals | 60c | 1,503$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Blues | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 39c | 813.11$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.11 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Capitals | 63c | 795$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.93 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Blues | 39c | 766.43$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.52 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blues | 38c | 704.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.06 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blues | 33c | 479$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.93 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Blues | 42c | 478.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Capitals | 46c | 448.87$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.48 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blues | 43c | 404.5$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.74 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Capitals | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefda…88eabacked Blues | 40c | 262.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Capitals | 9c | 249.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…8f02backed Blues | 42c | 229.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 55c | 217.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues | 38c | 215.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce19…08a6backed Capitals | 61c | 203.95$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd97e…a81ebacked Blues | 40c | 192.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…78e6backed Blues | 40c | 166.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6ba6backed Capitals | 61c | 162.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…b24cbacked Capitals | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…8b04backed Blues | 38c | 160$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2b…aab9backed Capitals | 61c | 152.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Capitals | 61c | 129.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals | 23c | 129.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…eab3backed Capitals | 61c | 128.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Blues | 39c | 124.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe4…c6a2backed Capitals | 61c | 121.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…86fcbacked Blues | 40c | 115.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dd…e156backed Capitals | 61c | 111.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb82…cbb1backed Blues | 38c | 105$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…c0e3backed Capitals | 62c | 105$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…b190backed Blues | 41c | 101.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…b01abacked Capitals | 61c | 101.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Blues | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x952c…070dbacked Capitals | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…e256backed Blues | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Capitals | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blues | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd327…c74bbacked Blues | 40c | 99.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…1a89backed Capitals | 61c | 96.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ace…c22dbacked Capitals | 61c | 89.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e5…0fa4backed Blues | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…a217backed Capitals | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5240backed Capitals | 61c | 76.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a4…23bebacked Capitals | 61c | 74.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678f…baa0backed Blues | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…e32bbacked Capitals | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…459cbacked Blues | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…452dbacked Blues | 41c | 69.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…24f0backed Capitals | 61c | 68.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Blues | 40c | 66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518a…576bbacked Blues | 40c | 64.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blues | 59c | 63.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47d…c6acbacked Blues | 40c | 58.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…1387backed Capitals | 62c | 56.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac5…bdf0backed Blues | 41c | 55.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Blues | 42c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a71…f573backed Capitals | 61c | 50.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…da59backed Capitals | 61c | 50.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35c3…09a6backed Blues | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6a…672bbacked Blues | 40c | 49.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc30d…eb94backed Blues | 38c | 49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…3bc1backed Capitals | 62c | 48.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd65e…814ebacked Capitals | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…66babacked Blues | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3292…9a8abacked Blues | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…2a3abacked Capitals | 63c | 42.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Blues | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78d…e9c7backed Blues | 40c | 41.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…3857backed Capitals | 61c | 41.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Capitals | 60c | 41.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…981dbacked Blues | 40c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bc…dcf6backed Blues | 39c | 40.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Capitals | 62c | 40.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…0dc6backed Capitals | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a8…38a2backed Capitals | 61c | 37.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e33…233cbacked Blues | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c3…a67dbacked Blues | 40c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.