TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Ducks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Ducks55c7,404$4,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,314.632331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Kings27c7,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89041340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings62c4,997$3,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,095.1185148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Ducks52c4,249$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.1522842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks32c3,068$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.0624546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings69c2,785$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.131,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks74c2,675$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.51,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Kings1c2,248$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.484555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Kings53c2,013$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.848744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Kings22c1,820$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Kings46c1,640$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ducks55c1,386$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.383,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings64c1,376$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.1637254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Ducks36c1,060$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6749747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c13…2096backed Kings61c989.1$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kings68c806.24$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.1849351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks33c748.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.1219438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kings68c615.05$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.2432251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks29c605$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.1972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Ducks43c550.36$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.9320751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5930…f3fdbacked Ducks36c501.46$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.464143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3351,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Kings28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a9a…062fbacked Kings70c495.71$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3471250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc3…3097backed Ducks31c493.12$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.121353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Kings66c459.18$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0613756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Kings10c435.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.542725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Ducks72c434.43$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.643148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b2b…eadabacked Ducks51c400$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Ducks37c390.35$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8838040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe210…791ebacked Ducks33c333.85$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.48520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.51,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Ducks34c296.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.794330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Ducks36c270.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9428842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Ducks54c267.39$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12313241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings68c264.65$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Kings21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0232…1d98backed Kings72c205.93$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.061154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Ducks33c204.82$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.828542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1268…94e0backed Ducks36c199.89$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.935440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings66c197.44$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3172847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd2…a281backed Ducks32c163.87$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+70.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8659…9178backed Kings31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.251,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Kings68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd703…fb35backed Ducks31c150$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a2…39fabacked Ducks30c146.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.831050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Ducks33c144.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1122246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Kings63c136.55$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.669553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Kings36c135.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4911157.7%64 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Ducks38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.586936.2%25 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Ducks31c129.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.032931%9 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kings68c110$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.860549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…37eabacked Kings72c107$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.452544%11 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc575…3fb1backed Kings48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Ducks31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.776137.7%23 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Ducks32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.756041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6444…57c3backed Kings70c78.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Kings71c77.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1419150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceba…b645backed Kings70c76.37$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.46837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90eb…f90cbacked Ducks32c75.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.17714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-55.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Kings70c74.69$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.281250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeed0…01e0backed Ducks32c73.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.19933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda32…92a9backed Kings70c73.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.48966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd56…6b02backed Ducks31c71.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb04d…5db7backed Kings70c70.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.31050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4eee…2782backed Kings72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011456.1%64 W · 50 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeadf…e8c6backed Ducks32c69.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.13850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07df…2506backed Kings70c68.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.57933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe5b…9b2fbacked Ducks31c67.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0c…f457backed Kings70c66.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.831050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6426…bb53backed Kings30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49e0…676fbacked Ducks32c65.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.631747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1720…ef36backed Kings68c64.71$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x71ae…0a9cbacked Kings70c62.84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Ducks78c56.36$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.427958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Ducks46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.11741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings26c47.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3391334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Ducks30c45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.516437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e5…409ebacked Kings72c42.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.18850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Kings70c41.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.545954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f93…de4fbacked Ducks78c39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3d…b972backed Kings68c38.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.356471.9%46 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Ducks78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.464957.1%28 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Kings67c37.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258863.6%56 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa978…0902backed Ducks29c37.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeed4…d04fbacked Kings68c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Ducks39c35.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.41250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99b8…f43ebacked Ducks31c34.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.964100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+132.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x516b…534bbacked Kings69c34.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x971d…37aabacked Kings65c32.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed Ducks37c31.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.752661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…f125backed Kings68c31.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e4…64dfbacked Ducks43c31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Kings68c29.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8b…1fbdbacked Ducks70c28.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.69366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f34…3bd9backed Kings71c28.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33ea…3c34backed Kings57c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdd…bb7abacked Kings69c26.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.29425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.