NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dcd8d583c2f925772edcff8da693829b44915bed66f3eea4591e80a9bdc144f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Bruins, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Penguins | 19c | 19,991$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760.2 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins | 34c | 13,831$4,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,652.9 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Penguins | 7c | 9,507$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.82 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed Bruins | 77c | 6,179$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Bruins | 67c | 5,412$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 12c | 4,241$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.62 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…c3b4backed Bruins | 46c | 4,036$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Bruins | 75c | 3,569$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.17 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Penguins | 53c | 3,169$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.06 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Penguins | 18c | 3,073$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.01 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 25c | 2,999$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.18 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Penguins | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Bruins | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Bruins | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Penguins | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Bruins | 45c | 1,782$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.07 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Penguins | 10c | 1,515$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec16…07f9backed Penguins | 50c | 1,344$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…a3cbbacked Penguins | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…6651backed Bruins | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc3…7e27backed Bruins | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Penguins | 9c | 1,043$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Penguins | 53c | 1,039$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.62 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Penguins | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bruins | 62c | 1,000$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.49 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins | 51c | 958.29$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.73 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Bruins | 48c | 840.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.82 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bruins | 44c | 738.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.83 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Bruins | 78c | 711.54$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Penguins | 54c | 694.98$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.29 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bruins | 44c | 680$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bruins | 47c | 647.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.44 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Penguins | 32c | 622.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…dc12backed Penguins | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Bruins | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Penguins | 54c | 424.43$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.19 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Bruins | 46c | 424.43$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.19 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Bruins | 74c | 415.88$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.13 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Penguins | 5c | 409.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Penguins | 28c | 355.77$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Bruins | 46c | 350$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6710…00c9backed Bruins | 75c | 266.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…683bbacked Bruins | 48c | 226$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c00…003abacked Penguins | 52c | 226$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Bruins | 46c | 219.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Bruins | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Bruins | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…ab8fbacked Bruins | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Penguins | 55c | 215.17$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bruins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bruins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb101…2697backed Bruins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Bruins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Bruins | 73c | 198.68$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8b…326abacked Penguins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Bruins | 77c | 189.26$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…fd0fbacked Bruins | 46c | 186.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Bruins | 46c | 183$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…0dc6backed Penguins | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…9d26backed Penguins | 7c | 149.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Penguins | 57c | 147.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bruins | 46c | 142.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Penguins | 22c | 138.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Bruins | 77c | 135.4$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Bruins | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…b65cbacked Bruins | 78c | 120$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…72bcbacked Penguins | 52c | 114$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Penguins | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bruins | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…e4eebacked Penguins | 52c | 105.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Penguins | 23c | 102.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Bruins | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Bruins | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Penguins | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…f4adbacked Bruins | 48c | 96.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…6165backed Bruins | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Penguins | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Penguins | 45c | 88.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…f095backed Penguins | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a0…42bcbacked Bruins | 48c | 84.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ce…f3f0backed Penguins | 52c | 82.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc80e…b59dbacked Penguins | 52c | 80.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…9c35backed Bruins | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Penguins | 49c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…41efbacked Bruins | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Bruins | 79c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…c4b0backed Penguins | 52c | 74.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bed…3b01backed Bruins | 48c | 73.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ee…952dbacked Bruins | 48c | 73.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Penguins | 53c | 70.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c1bbbacked Bruins | 46c | 67.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc9…de5fbacked Penguins | 54c | 67.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8923…4b8ebacked Bruins | 48c | 67.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Bruins | 47c | 67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…4173backed Bruins | 48c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…0765backed Penguins | 52c | 63.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ce…121bbacked Bruins | 46c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021f…a3d7backed Penguins | 54c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…f420backed Bruins | 77c | 58.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc94…fb8abacked Bruins | 46c | 56.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.