TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flyersof Flyers, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,746 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8fa7…6378backed Flyers34c2,638$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+113%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde65…1237backed Flyers34c2,057$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+113%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc689…771cbacked Jets66c1,968$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Flyers32c1,685$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.7429847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe3…ad94backed Jets66c1,514$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Flyers45c1,439$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.9932331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers36c1,313$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.991,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd17…15a2backed Jets66c1,211$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Jets48c1,116$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53323761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8d…d880backed Jets67c1,045$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Flyers22c899.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.7421620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers33c790.37$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.5497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers33c734.27$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.681,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers35c704.99$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.9872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Jets67c659$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.4724457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets59c641.65$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.483,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jets64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Jets64c500$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.265757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Jets78c462.87$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.246940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Jets67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Flyers34c391.88$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.6451044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Flyers37c340.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9928542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4acf…e8dcbacked Flyers41c339.51$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.31955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Jets44c309.5$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.184852.1%25 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8efa…f8c4backed Jets67c303.34$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.243775.7%28 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+37.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6f52…6ff2backed Flyers33c298$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.661827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Flyers33c242.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.421225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Jets68c236.16$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.595147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa954…b8edbacked Flyers35c231.43$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.434355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets68c200$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers33c195$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.231,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Jets67c194.03$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea4…4bf3backed Jets68c193.5$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.581668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Jets59c175.48$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.382540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd26…6310backed Jets67c156.52$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.872254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flyers30c153.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2972847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…bc89backed Jets70c153.27$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.291921.1%4 W · 15 L-6.3wins-0.33per pick54cpaid-63.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xabff…f878backed Jets66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2a6…b0d4backed Flyers33c151.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.19475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+67.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0623…35dbbacked Jets67c149.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003080%24 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Jets67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e42…ea9bbacked Flyers35c148.57$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.57771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f57…0e64backed Flyers33c147.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.59850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…f2d9backed Jets68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Flyers33c146.46$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.038440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc93…4249backed Jets59c144.81$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.448254.9%45 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6b1…f295backed Flyers33c143.52$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.16922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb30c…7ab2backed Jets67c143.28$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Flyers33c127.27$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2749351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets66c109.78$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.41,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Flyers42c106.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.618452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…3bc1backed Jets67c103.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.632133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Jets66c100.95$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.634555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Jets66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6681846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Jets68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686050%30 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b8…e4acbacked Flyers34c97.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.231154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Flyers34c90.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8231248.4%151 W · 161 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Flyers24c87.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.51915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0833…7191backed Jets66c87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c0…9cb4backed Flyers34c87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.42475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+64.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers34c84.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.491334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4429…2e4dbacked Jets67c82.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.498669.8%60 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Jets67c79.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5841757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc21…5020backed Jets68c78.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481e…0808backed Jets68c76.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.79837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff2…c1bfbacked Jets68c74.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.53742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef4c…94cdbacked Flyers33c74.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+128.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6710…00c9backed Jets68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503737.8%14 W · 23 L-7.8wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-41.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5faf…a1d1backed Flyers35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.433647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8459…1b3cbacked Jets68c68.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e86…f837backed Jets68c68.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.39862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e20…fd40backed Flyers33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.615429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…b038backed Jets66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49e0…676fbacked Flyers35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe01…8907backed Jets66c58.66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.72757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fe6…de82backed Jets66c53.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd3…06a8backed Jets66c51.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaef9…0b2bbacked Flyers35c51.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.432045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe456…3be8backed Flyers34c51.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.881050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f1…8df9backed Jets66c51.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.88955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Jets60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3073157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jets68c49.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2360…fbcebacked Jets66c49.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.56837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfaf1…e8c8backed Jets66c49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3849…d51ebacked Flyers34c49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d2…c25dbacked Flyers35c45.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.711861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1268…94e0backed Flyers42c45.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.385440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c37…9e0cbacked Jets66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-55%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9448…be98backed Jets77c45.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515470.1%108 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc986…28d8backed Flyers35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Jets66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Jets66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a62…118abacked Jets68c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb8…be62backed Flyers35c36.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.645032%16 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc851…1c40backed Flyers34c35.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.43977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7b6…89efbacked Jets66c35.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.43922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Jets66c33.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226866.2%45 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d8…1aefbacked Jets61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.