Fed Rates · resolved market
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fc1e5595adab4d8160b2fe72cfed61131e3d5e61b5c334160d1729d7380ab16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,955,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,304,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,955,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 557 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab59…ea9abacked Yes | 0c | 3,867,067$11,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,693.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…0601backed Yes | 0c | 3,626,560$5,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.66 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e37…386bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,192,613$6,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,577.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…3ba1backed Yes | 0c | 1,006,232$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…ec61backed Yes | 0c | 933,900$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4004…fa48backed Yes | 0c | 873,657$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f18…9536backed Yes | 0c | 815,298$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c6…83d2backed Yes | 0c | 716,630$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 654,777$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.35 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -92.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…294cbacked Yes | 0c | 639,909$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…9a95backed Yes | 0c | 639,897$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…1d0dbacked Yes | 0c | 611,412$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3809…4391backed Yes | 0c | 608,004$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5386…2751backed Yes | 0c | 595,220$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80e…be5bbacked Yes | 0c | 591,967$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…b46fbacked Yes | 0c | 589,847$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844f…d6a8backed Yes | 0c | 584,727$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c1…191abacked Yes | 0c | 583,471$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e99…543dbacked Yes | 0c | 583,210$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…74d3backed Yes | 0c | 582,577$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0c…2524backed Yes | 0c | 582,215$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…f65abacked Yes | 0c | 582,215$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc43…938ebacked Yes | 0c | 582,078$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…4b58backed Yes | 0c | 582,078$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…4d42backed Yes | 0c | 581,850$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…a61ebacked Yes | 0c | 580,316$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…cbd6backed Yes | 0c | 580,316$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b7…f2aebacked Yes | 0c | 580,263$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…c1adbacked Yes | 0c | 579,901$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca9…cdd3backed Yes | 0c | 578,235$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…5ec5backed Yes | 0c | 559,401$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634b…0816backed Yes | 0c | 553,242$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfd…8952backed Yes | 0c | 542,147$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…9d14backed Yes | 0c | 539,847$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60e…7b31backed Yes | 0c | 533,208$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…5f51backed Yes | 0c | 531,744$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f23…08babacked Yes | 0c | 531,548$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…b3c5backed Yes | 0c | 527,310$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff3…88e9backed Yes | 0c | 521,548$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…e6a3backed Yes | 0c | 511,548$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…6946backed Yes | 0c | 501,548$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…053abacked Yes | 0c | 500,799$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff6…51ffbacked Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…a1c2backed Yes | 0c | 491,541$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…3ce8backed Yes | 0c | 488,416$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7b…d204backed Yes | 0c | 472,487$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…b9acbacked Yes | 0c | 471,114$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683f…3f68backed Yes | 0c | 470,714$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce8…9ea5backed Yes | 0c | 470,698$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…5f03backed Yes | 0c | 470,596$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e6…14b1backed Yes | 0c | 470,152$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c13…1e40backed Yes | 0c | 470,078$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…db04backed Yes | 0c | 469,885$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c6…ad0cbacked Yes | 0c | 469,885$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…fb93backed Yes | 0c | 469,261$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992c…3ae9backed Yes | 0c | 469,206$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…94ecbacked Yes | 0c | 469,035$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f9…f541backed Yes | 0c | 468,525$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1a…8a65backed Yes | 0c | 463,207$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950c…063ebacked Yes | 0c | 462,412$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c2…40d5backed Yes | 0c | 458,600$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a27…a449backed Yes | 0c | 458,386$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed0…d2b2backed Yes | 0c | 457,564$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb031…fdf3backed Yes | 0c | 457,512$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…bde6backed Yes | 0c | 456,044$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821a…d2bbbacked Yes | 0c | 454,992$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf760…1921backed Yes | 0c | 454,425$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…1046backed Yes | 0c | 453,912$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74de…db8abacked Yes | 0c | 453,519$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…e9e6backed Yes | 0c | 453,207$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa5…4dc8backed Yes | 0c | 451,800$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…ef9abacked Yes | 0c | 450,654$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…5bf9backed Yes | 0c | 450,438$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe608…749cbacked Yes | 0c | 450,009$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…990abacked Yes | 0c | 450,009$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…863fbacked Yes | 0c | 449,977$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…8279backed Yes | 0c | 449,214$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…839dbacked Yes | 0c | 449,214$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…a99ebacked Yes | 0c | 444,057$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb0…5776backed Yes | 0c | 443,306$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…a6f9backed Yes | 0c | 443,256$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…c582backed Yes | 0c | 442,204$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…dc52backed Yes | 0c | 441,852$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd003…2aa1backed Yes | 0c | 441,852$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…ed17backed Yes | 0c | 441,852$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…e01fbacked Yes | 0c | 441,828$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…0fb7backed Yes | 0c | 440,782$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…bc6bbacked Yes | 0c | 440,782$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0df…65a5backed Yes | 0c | 437,327$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…0d19backed Yes | 0c | 436,511$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…1233backed Yes | 0c | 436,511$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb137…e24ebacked Yes | 0c | 436,511$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…26acbacked Yes | 0c | 436,511$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…7ff9backed Yes | 0c | 435,722$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…cf6abacked Yes | 0c | 435,722$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e43…0f60backed Yes | 0c | 435,722$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7016…9c7ebacked Yes | 0c | 434,566$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd605…ffcbbacked Yes | 0c | 434,566$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3e…41ccbacked Yes | 0c | 432,988$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…cc26backed Yes | 0c | 432,988$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?No won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No won
- No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?No won
- Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.