Fed Rates · resolved market
Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61962c3f51c9c2e4f3885da88b70d3378a822830e42df02a19c7b035737515bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,150,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,367,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,150,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…0601backed Yes | 0c | 3,127,060$4,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,628.1 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed Yes | 0c | 1,847,678$3,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 1,187,292$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.75 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 599,497$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.5 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -92.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…3ba1backed Yes | 0c | 400,012$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 367,697$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.2 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 297,573$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.81 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb82…80b6backed Yes | 0c | 196,329$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe03a…aedbbacked Yes | 0c | 125,413$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.83 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 0c | 103,590$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…0218backed Yes | 0c | 101,743$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…a2cdbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 97,301$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…194dbacked Yes | 0c | 71,000$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe63…49d0backed Yes | 0c | 64,237$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e78…cc2bbacked Yes | 0c | 54,499$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 0c | 51,000$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 0c | 47,422$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1754…f6c2backed Yes | 0c | 45,288$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0260…b0a4backed Yes | 0c | 42,583$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…cd88backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…cd08backed Yes | 0c | 38,850$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…4e5bbacked Yes | 0c | 37,995$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…9d1abacked Yes | 0c | 36,480$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5805…c2b8backed Yes | 0c | 34,676$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 0c | 24,559$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2796…4562backed Yes | 0c | 23,900$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5110…964fbacked Yes | 0c | 23,050$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d4…8033backed Yes | 0c | 22,550$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…7ce1backed Yes | 0c | 22,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…aaafbacked Yes | 0c | 22,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88dc…a330backed Yes | 0c | 22,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7037…7feabacked Yes | 0c | 22,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…4c9cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…42e3backed Yes | 0c | 20,640$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…5841backed Yes | 0c | 20,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb68…e183backed Yes | 0c | 20,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd521…0669backed Yes | 0c | 20,290$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf8…b754backed Yes | 0c | 20,007$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…c0a4backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…dcb0backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…493ebacked Yes | 0c | 19,900$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…6c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 19,430$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…8310backed Yes | 0c | 18,576$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…0e07backed Yes | 0c | 17,432$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…673ebacked Yes | 1c | 17,369$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…4288backed Yes | 0c | 16,250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…2b97backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5642…faa3backed Yes | 0c | 15,791$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 0c | 12,600$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe53…c2ebbacked Yes | 0c | 12,599$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…11e0backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b6…7c80backed Yes | 0c | 12,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…5b36backed Yes | 0c | 11,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1260…34f3backed Yes | 0c | 11,505$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…6807backed Yes | 0c | 10,750$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…7442backed Yes | 0c | 10,700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…d9e8backed Yes | 0c | 10,600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…6526backed Yes | 0c | 10,584$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bb…9dbebacked Yes | 0c | 10,550$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…aaf6backed Yes | 0c | 10,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4573…4da1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad5…657cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e41…cf4dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8183…51c6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465f…5c72backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…7aa3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeab…4242backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…e71fbacked Yes | 0c | 9,694$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ed…ce35backed Yes | 0c | 9,656$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0450…eff8backed Yes | 0c | 8,733$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…5811backed Yes | 0c | 8,333$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeac…0c58backed Yes | 0c | 8,333$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6824…b2a2backed Yes | 0c | 8,268$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe058…3418backed Yes | 0c | 7,733$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,665$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…5bc9backed Yes | 0c | 7,485$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a4…9777backed Yes | 0c | 7,174$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…38b2backed Yes | 0c | 7,021$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe640…c151backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…22d0backed Yes | 0c | 6,700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d6…2a65backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…db05backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf0…8fcabacked Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…c7c5backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8540…5f39backed Yes | 0c | 6,543$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31e…eec3backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…91d7backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0c…4d69backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3d…a65abacked Yes | 0c | 6,303$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e0…eda2backed Yes | 0c | 6,147$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…1a5cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,133$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b5…01b8backed Yes | 0c | 6,050$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…8574backed Yes | 0c | 6,010$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23aa…d48fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…06b4backed Yes | 0c | 5,985$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?No won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No won
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No won
- No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.