TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Senators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Sharks, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,867
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,867 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Senators67c1,923$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.73,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Sharks27c1,681$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.7536242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Senators46c1,457$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.3732331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9614…5247backed Senators73c1,192$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.711163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2edf…8475backed Sharks27c1,190$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Sharks20c998.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Sharks27c704.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc3…7e27backed Senators74c670.27$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.27580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc135…fd0fbacked Sharks27c666.67$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks28c600.64$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.951,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Senators73c572$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4475155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Senators73c515$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0515663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Sharks22c446.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2758467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Senators74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4127958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Sharks32c379.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2128542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Senators72c360.47$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.931,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Sharks16c354.77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.75757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…6fd0backed Sharks28c324$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.722619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Sharks5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525.8%3 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Sharks28c245.79$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.821225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Sharks9c205.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7829748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Senators74c199.98$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.99875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87eb…8f8ebacked Sharks27c198.81$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.68683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+79.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Sharks28c187$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.261,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a4…afdbbacked Sharks28c164.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc93…4249backed Sharks61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008254.9%45 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Senators75c162.29$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.299665.6%63 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Sharks33c160.21$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Senators74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Sharks26c149.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Sharks27c143$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6164242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0623…35dbbacked Senators75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333080%24 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58a7…554fbacked Sharks62c130.78$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.08683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb30c…7ab2backed Senators74c129.73$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.73850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6072…fb46backed Senators74c122.73$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.555954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eee…782bbacked Sharks35c120.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb65…3412backed Sharks28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Senators67c103.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.111,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Senators73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2727643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Senators59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Sharks28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286050%30 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc261…a986backed Sharks27c96.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.05944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Senators74c84.41$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1276450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d1…80a2backed Sharks26c84.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.931050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e20…fd40backed Sharks27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x901b…53ffbacked Sharks26c71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7425…3226backed Senators75c68.97$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.245100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x847b…bae4backed Senators73c68.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4672…94c9backed Senators74c68.35$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Sharks28c67.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf396…f850backed Senators73c66.83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.041346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1de4…ffd6backed Senators73c65.62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.72650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd19e…ac6dbacked Senators74c65.15$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafc6…6ebebacked Sharks27c63.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7326…b488backed Senators74c61.66$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.03955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc713…cf03backed Sharks26c61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c0b…2275backed Sharks27c60.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.38520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2871…2f3dbacked Senators74c60.51$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12dd…830bbacked Senators73c56.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.16757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Senators67c55.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0391334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd65e…814ebacked Senators75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d42…f046backed Senators75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332171.4%15 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9eac…1507backed Senators73c52.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.13875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d7…feefbacked Sharks27c51.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42e9…bfabbacked Sharks26c51.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.431154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Sharks27c51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7716437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5cc…4ebebacked Sharks26c50.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.221145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf934…9f73backed Senators40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305046%23 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Sharks28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415730.6%48 W · 109 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…8071backed Sharks27c49.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Senators79c48.69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.11,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c2…a3fcbacked Senators74c48.33$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.57850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eda…4173backed Senators74c48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.48875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93cc…b929backed Senators73c47.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.91757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Senators74c47.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4841954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb8…be62backed Sharks27c47.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.735032%16 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7061…82a1backed Senators73c46.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.691154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf518…1655backed Sharks28c46.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd028…4b0fbacked Sharks26c46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd372…0765backed Senators74c46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.96837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d4b…7247backed Senators74c44.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.531233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0b…fa94backed Senators74c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.44977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+35.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Senators73c43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6123462%145 W · 89 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ee…952dbacked Senators74c40.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.491145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc19…d899backed Senators74c38.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.97955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7b6…89efbacked Sharks27c38.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e96…c1bbbacked Senators73c36.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a4…93fcbacked Senators73c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.721172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc851…1c40backed Senators73c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.18977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b1f…9221backed Senators75c33.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa019…30aebacked Senators73c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.371241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e8…56acbacked Senators74c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.061050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc94…fb8abacked Senators73c30.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.281080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+72.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2360…fbcebacked Senators73c30.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Senators74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.839757.2%227 W · 170 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x266e…73c6backed Senators74c29.42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.66580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x616e…b24ebacked Senators74c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.