Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87ab3a19e4e23305ff9db384311c684e0422bf271f2cbabbc15fb0e9dc99b238
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 36c | 43,843$15,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,643.87 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 12,144$7,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260.91 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 9,186$6,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.32 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 64c | 7,612$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.25 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 5,391$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.49 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 5,096$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.14 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 23c | 2,841$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 350 | 28.9%101 W · 249 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 2,381$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.88 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,305$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.05 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 1,166$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.21 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 984.47$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.55 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 68c | 970.1$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.74 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 66c | 961.92$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.05 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 27c | 859$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.42 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 71c | 704.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.28 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 74c | 704.08$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 68c | 664.97$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 33c | 499.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 23c | 342.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 64c | 277.77$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 35c | 243.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 240.7$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 10c | 240.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 5c | 226.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…65c8backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 31c | 163$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 23c | 155.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 14c | 152.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 33c | 144.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 134$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3190…93bbbacked Yes | 13c | 106.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 65c | 97.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 70c | 70.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked No | 65c | 63.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 726 | 58.7%426 W · 300 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 71c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 65c | 39.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 66c | 37.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 34c | 36.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 66c | 36.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 36c | 35.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 34c | 29.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 67c | 22.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed No | 72c | 21.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed No | 74c | 16.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.