Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa50570ba2829ff81592311ac63e88d55913715fecfe56ba837e3b7b7ffaf7807
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 63c | 14,277$8,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,993.22 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 64c | 9,565$6,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.22 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 18c | 7,523$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.74 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Yes | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 3,190$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.03 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.98 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.95 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 39c | 2,697$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.85 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 2,674$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.84 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,865$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.25 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed No | 46c | 1,828$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 39c | 1,281$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.63 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 59c | 1,163$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.35 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 38c | 1,111$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.95 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 63c | 1,098$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.7 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 994.75$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.96 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 62c | 841.51$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.74 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed No | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 41c | 515.89$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 43c | 453.64$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.67 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 392.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.12 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 38c | 375.39$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.9 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 308.01$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.32 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…03fabacked Yes | 70c | 284.14$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 61c | 256.41$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.41 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed No | 64c | 230.1$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.12 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 37c | 194.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 74c | 165$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked No | 64c | 154.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 26c | 90.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 16c | 86.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed No | 63c | 77.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed No | 64c | 77.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed No | 63c | 71.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a88…832dbacked No | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 37c | 69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 60c | 65.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed No | 63c | 65.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed No | 64c | 63.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 38c | 62.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed No | 63c | 62.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 64c | 59.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 62c | 57.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 39c | 53.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 61c | 49.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…4e67backed No | 63c | 49.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 37c | 40.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 49c | 35.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Yes | 44c | 34.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 39c | 28.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 39c | 26.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…f4cdbacked Yes | 68c | 25.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b91…8709backed Yes | 66c | 22.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…1e0cbacked No | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…15b7backed No | 64c | 18.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 63c | 17.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71fe…461ebacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…bf5dbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.