Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x907e166b997d99f597260cf26fb88d00967c2293767cd1a06220c64b5e51c3cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 4,143$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.27 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 2,956$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.55 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 1,938$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.16 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 759.23$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.18 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed No | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 80c | 305.61$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 23c | 184.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…f4cdbacked Yes | 26c | 157.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Yes | 29c | 127.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 18c | 111.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 91.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 89.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…e2fdbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…356fbacked No | 78c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed No | 76c | 20.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.