TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Tatjana Maria vs Kimberly Birrell

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Birrellof Maria, Birrell
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Birrell77c21,877$16,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,139.812,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Maria34c8,798$2,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,981.374420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Birrell75c8,595$6,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,163.348,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Birrell75c6,236$4,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.767,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Maria25c5,273$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.641,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Maria27c5,063$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.9255646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Maria14c4,286$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Birrell69c4,116$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.0281349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Maria28c4,050$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.193834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maria15c3,804$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.565647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Birrell66c3,507$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.672,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Birrell66c2,662$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.7311,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Maria40c2,510$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.4899139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Maria18c2,384$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41828444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Birrell67c2,184$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.481,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x149c…0906backed Maria31c2,029$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.05333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2590…e38ebacked Maria2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402227.3%6 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick8cpaid+199.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Maria34c1,963$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67130241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Birrell65c1,636$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.951,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Maria15c1,630$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3522641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Birrell70c1,429$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.113,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Birrell72c1,323$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.415862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Maria33c1,200$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39641645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Maria29c1,160$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.261,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Maria35c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012735.4%45 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Maria26c1,058$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9146030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Maria23c1,001$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.4526131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Maria25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Maria29c896.55$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26011735.9%42 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Maria35c855.6$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027154.2%147 W · 124 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Birrell74c683.89$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.712,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Maria35c617.14$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21616665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Birrell72c591$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3599044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Maria23c516.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.031,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Birrell71c505.64$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.762,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Maria23c479.37$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11128322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Maria26c475.25$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.271,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf80…25c3backed Maria34c468.74$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Birrell75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10046649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Maria21c399.87$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7813727.7%38 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Maria34c394.86$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.119762.9%61 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Birrell73c393.14$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1513052.3%68 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Birrell68c391.2$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.516969.6%48 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Maria28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Maria29c345.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Birrell64c333.74$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.059749.5%48 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Birrell63c323.75$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12147639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Maria31c300.74$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2314949.7%74 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Maria34c295.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Maria18c293.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9775748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Birrell63c222.77$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7713356.4%75 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7820…5b79backed Maria22c222.23$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8920515.6%32 W · 173 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x034a…e968backed Maria36c208.03$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.892360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+59.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc25c…f6dfbacked Maria31c203.21$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Maria34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9349632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Maria26c192$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9216446.3%76 W · 88 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Maria25c185.49$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.252733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Maria36c184.05$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6116830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Maria28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024826.2%65 W · 183 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Maria12c171.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5826227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed Maria15c167.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.123033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Birrell77c156.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6239872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Birrell65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8547946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Birrell74c152.15$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.823756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Birrell76c149.19$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1942558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Birrell70c146.05$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1249143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Maria34c145.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054249.3%267 W · 275 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Maria34c143.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1325542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Maria28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Maria39c141.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5569350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maria24c140$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.41,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Maria39c128.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Maria30c124.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.161953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb000…5ca6backed Birrell65c123.08$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0812150.4%61 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79e9…80b1backed Maria24c120$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.233228.3%94 W · 238 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x230b…1e27backed Maria17c115.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.162339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Maria23c107.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.323,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Maria14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Maria30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Maria27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2716044.4%71 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Maria25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Maria23c96.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2276140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Maria24c91.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9323126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa519…2cc1backed Maria34c89.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.457549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Birrell75c87$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7538048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7540…9827backed Birrell77c81.44$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.542774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Maria14c80$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0693048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Maria25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Birrell66c79.56$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0547057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ba…089fbacked Maria36c79.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.867742.9%33 W · 44 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4712…5bd6backed Birrell76c78.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9514475%108 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1967…0debbacked Maria26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Birrell66c76.54$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.026,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Birrell68c72.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.998848.9%43 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Birrell66c71.43$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2918644.6%83 W · 103 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aba…49e9backed Maria30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Birrell75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.672,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Birrell76c65.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6115343.8%67 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Birrell76c64.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.561,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Maria32c63.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7388455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.