Euroleague · resolved market
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x088c7b2f729f45c200fd8599f2ab144c4d25778212e32eee86609b3f9686d26d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KK Crvena Zvezdaof KK Crvena Zvezda, Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4b8…2542backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 44c | 4,034$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0214…c63bbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 56c | 3,360$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 42c | 3,250$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9164…ba86backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 56c | 3,117$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 21c | 2,600$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9623…9604backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 44c | 2,470$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 69c | 2,222$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.93 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 58c | 2,064$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.04 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 74c | 1,569$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 31c | 1,565$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.15 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 42c | 1,191$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 65c | 1,036$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.33 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 40c | 903$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 46c | 798$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.68 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 61c | 700.66$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 57c | 578.95$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 62c | 516.76$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 35c | 502.6$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.69 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 61c | 492$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 53c | 469.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.9 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 59c | 397$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.77 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 58c | 375.78$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.28 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 52c | 330.71$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.02 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…b4dcbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 50c | 276.38$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 41c | 235$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 46c | 203.59$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 58c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 62c | 189.82$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0d…0789backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 40c | 150.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 61c | 115$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 35c | 99.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 35c | 88.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 40c | 86.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3190…93bbbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 58c | 72.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3398…e348backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 29c | 68.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 49c | 61.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 67c | 61.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa896…3c28backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 69c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 30c | 50.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…fcd4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 44c | 49.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 41c | 48.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 59c | 43.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 63c | 38.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…074abacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 36c | 36.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 49c | 35.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 31.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 61c | 29.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 43c | 29.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…dd5fbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 68c | 26.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…5fc5backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 71c | 22.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…a9d6backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 57c | 20.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…a773backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 62c | 20.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.