TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,643
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,643 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked No55c75,875$41,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,235.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes45c26,800$11,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,937.1777751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Yes45c25,000$11,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,25010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2c…7bdabacked Yes45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes45c6,189$2,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,784.964751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes44c5,121$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.7518651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes44c4,832$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.08616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes45c4,762$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.3626345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes44c4,393$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.83855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes46c3,318$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.0330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes43c3,275$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed No56c3,133$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.521662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes44c3,053$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.38946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed No63c2,996$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.641172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes42c2,714$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Yes44c2,600$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.221030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes3c2,491$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.76222.6%14 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Yes45c2,449$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Yes45c2,377$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.851353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2814…2941backed Yes45c2,246$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed No52c2,241$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.791643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes45c2,136$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.9113942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Yes44c1,723$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.97825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No57c1,549$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.3223643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No66c1,541$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.4114761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb9fa…8ccbbacked Yes45c1,393$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8694…5f47backed Yes45c1,391$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x729d…d1f2backed Yes45c1,381$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes45c1,250$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.59854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes59c1,194$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.397364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33ac…506bbacked Yes45c1,106$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50618655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf34e…d7ffbacked Yes45c1,093$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f12…bd66backed Yes45c1,076$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.042653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1af0…6dd7backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45055750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45068550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45091553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Yes42c999.92$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes45c994.44$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.8358043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes44c980.84$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.878547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes45c795.6$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.0247748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes47c775.42$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.453339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Yes44c733.06$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.237149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No71c719.17$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5619073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No58c713.93$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.913461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes45c644.67$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.13658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c588.52$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.33,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes43c583.72$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25113053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed Yes7c571$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.971421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick9cpaid+138.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes45c550.02$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.677037.1%26 W · 44 L-11.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes55c527.34$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.638560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No57c506.33$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4412254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No58c499.18$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.141450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed No58c499.18$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes42c494.18$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.671,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes51c470$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.729370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes42c414.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8820249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No63c391.74$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3822946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes4c380.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8313518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes65c318.09$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.766939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No56c312.01$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1115458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No57c308.39$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7314151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes41c299.97$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.999858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Yes66c296.85$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.92785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+82.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes39c293$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.275131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes33c292.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7419847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No35c274.57$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4710243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb26a…fbe9backed Yes46c245$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Yes40c240.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.522040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes34c228.65$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8248344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x654d…ba8fbacked Yes44c227.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.013020%6 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes20c206.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.442030%6 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Yes45c193.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5574…47abbacked Yes41c192.85$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No55c191.22$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0526346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.061010%1 W · 9 L-4.3wins-0.43per pick53cpaid-82.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.224351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No59c165.02$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4710853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes18c163.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3687154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No57c151.29$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.737249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed Yes45c150.42$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.691330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes70c140.84$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.182365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes70c140.57$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.191154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes43c139.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.23050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No70c138.51$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2517753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No58c138$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9817858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No51c130.74$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes35c130.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3628851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75fc…e7d1backed No58c130.41$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Yes36c122.68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.164445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Yes41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.231741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes41c115.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes43c110.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5392346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd006…df71backed Yes45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.