Mls · resolved market
Will Atlanta United FC vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cce3c9054d42406c403bcf4ee1f89a015935fb71b526dded7aad0c9d609bb59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 72c | 1,406$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.64 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 984.41$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.92 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 845.76$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.06 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 526.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 512.66$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.67 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 463.97$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 63c | 421.18$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.31 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 36c | 362$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 28c | 309.88$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 29c | 301.09$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 29c | 301.09$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 28c | 287.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 72c | 236.22$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 27c | 214.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 199.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 194.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 21c | 185.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 28c | 169.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 16c | 163$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 55c | 158.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 69c | 150.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 20c | 142.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 73c | 134.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 28c | 133.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 64c | 122.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed No | 64c | 122.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 64c | 122.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 72c | 119.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 117.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 68c | 111.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 23c | 108.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 74c | 102.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 28c | 101.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ec4bbacked Yes | 29c | 97.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 39c | 93.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 18c | 87.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 39c | 85.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 77c | 77.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 66c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 28c | 68.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 50c | 53.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfc…5c8ebacked Yes | 28c | 52.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 28c | 52.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 29c | 50.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Yes | 29c | 50.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Yes | 29c | 50.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 72c | 42.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 56c | 41.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 38.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 28c | 38.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Yes | 58c | 21.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 77c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 77c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 77c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 77c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlanta United FC vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-22?No won
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-04-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.