CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e5419dabe4e59feea68311ec7269d497a3f79e3f353354a145cb4a914dcb0e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof FORZE Reload, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked FORZE Reload | 48c | 13,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Bebop | 52c | 5,158$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.64 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FORZE Reload | 7c | 4,743$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.73 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bebop | 56c | 4,680$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.65 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Bebop | 52c | 3,497$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.4 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FORZE Reload | 53c | 2,468$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.14 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Bebop | 69c | 1,117$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.8 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Bebop | 45c | 919.99$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.23 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FORZE Reload | 42c | 836.95$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.97 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked FORZE Reload | 13c | 774$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed FORZE Reload | 21c | 513$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed FORZE Reload | 30c | 500$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.42 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Bebop | 58c | 444$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed Bebop | 77c | 393.66$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 41 | 85.4%35 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FORZE Reload | 48c | 341.82$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bebop | 54c | 325.3$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.97 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FORZE Reload | 23c | 302.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed FORZE Reload | 54c | 271.76$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FORZE Reload | 39c | 252.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Bebop | 56c | 251.08$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FORZE Reload | 21c | 220.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bebop | 67c | 219.02$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Bebop | 54c | 194.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Bebop | 65c | 186.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Bebop | 66c | 183$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed FORZE Reload | 21c | 161.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FORZE Reload | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb60f…17a6backed Bebop | 67c | 111.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…360bbacked Bebop | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed FORZE Reload | 42c | 96.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed FORZE Reload | 24c | 94.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed FORZE Reload | 34c | 93.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed FORZE Reload | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FORZE Reload | 34c | 88.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Bebop | 58c | 86.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Bebop | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed FORZE Reload | 45c | 82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed FORZE Reload | 31c | 78.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…3ff2backed FORZE Reload | 26c | 77.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Bebop | 61c | 74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Bebop | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…de53backed Bebop | 71c | 66.34$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Bebop | 76c | 62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed FORZE Reload | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FORZE Reload | 34c | 53.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Bebop | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked FORZE Reload | 45c | 44.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FORZE Reload | 44c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Bebop | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Bebop | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…089ebacked Bebop | 61c | 32.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked FORZE Reload | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bebop | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Bebop | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Bebop | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerFORZE Reload won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.