Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7061204a17d41f5e305620bf545ae933fdea5277bd33c7180eec7e271ffbbd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Envyof Team Envy, Evil Geniuses
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Envy | 44c | 1,741$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.38 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e51…92bbbacked Evil Geniuses | 57c | 1,708$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Team Envy | 31c | 682.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Evil Geniuses | 60c | 677.37$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.97 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Envy | 78c | 640$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Envy | 70c | 560$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.62 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Team Envy | 71c | 531$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Team Envy | 40c | 524.75$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.27 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Evil Geniuses | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Envy | 56c | 472$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.46 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Evil Geniuses | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4255backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 388.49$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Evil Geniuses | 40c | 328$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.34 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Evil Geniuses | 59c | 304.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.91 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Evil Geniuses | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Team Envy | 41c | 176.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Team Envy | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Evil Geniuses | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…354fbacked Team Envy | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…3689backed Team Envy | 49c | 61.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb108…7212backed Team Envy | 32c | 57.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Evil Geniuses | 59c | 45.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Envy | 52c | 45.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Team Envy | 56c | 37.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…88a0backed Evil Geniuses | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Envy | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3)Team Envy won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 WinnerEvil Geniuses won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.