TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Welterweight, Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyaniof Phil Rowe, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$282,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbad…9c95backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani67c64,945$43,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,431.9219154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Phil Rowe33c40,000$13,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,299.855440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani67c29,934$20,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,878.313860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani66c28,109$18,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,557.1116244.4%72 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Phil Rowe33c25,200$8,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,3162532%8 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Phil Rowe34c21,176$7,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,197.3235253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani66c20,908$13,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,110.6814558.6%85 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Phil Rowe33c18,000$5,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,94016049.4%79 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Phil Rowe33c12,121$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Phil Rowe32c10,421$3,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,339.22240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani67c10,000$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30022259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Phil Rowe1c8,845$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.768248.8%40 W · 42 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Phil Rowe34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9928849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Phil Rowe31c5,500$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,73017055.3%94 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Phil Rowe33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65011746.2%54 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52f4…2b15backed Phil Rowe1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016156.5%91 W · 70 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Phil Rowe33c3,791$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2516937.7%26 W · 43 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed Phil Rowe33c3,605$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.642528%7 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf338…38e2backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani66c3,573$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.125100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Phil Rowe33c3,340$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.29636.5%35 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedea…8b39backed Phil Rowe2c3,235$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504042.5%17 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Phil Rowe34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0203735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Phil Rowe33c2,551$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.839228.3%26 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani73c2,402$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.9953956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…8e5abacked Phil Rowe16c2,289$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.45139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Phil Rowe34c2,170$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.2415641%64 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani74c1,580$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.475841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani72c1,560$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.085642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Phil Rowe36c1,459$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.112134.7%42 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Phil Rowe34c1,363$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.2118038.9%70 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed Phil Rowe33c1,332$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.564425%11 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Phil Rowe35c1,162$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.814228.6%12 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Phil Rowe30c1,137$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.7321247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani76c1,129$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.655541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani72c1,095$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.556240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Phil Rowe17c1,022$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5835848.3%173 W · 185 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani76c1,022$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.851154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Phil Rowe33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Phil Rowe36c992.67$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.3617850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Phil Rowe33c962$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.468622.1%19 W · 67 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-45.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani71c918.15$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3937754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Phil Rowe33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006250%31 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Phil Rowe18c835.69$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.943943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani75c791$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.943246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Phil Rowe36c736.43$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.462437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed Phil Rowe2c683$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83446.8%3 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Phil Rowe33c666.67$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Phil Rowe35c605.51$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3812541.6%52 W · 73 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Phil Rowe33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19836655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17417752%92 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Phil Rowe33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19820837%77 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.248650%43 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Phil Rowe33c550$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.556450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c5c…c842backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani66c549.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani73c533.06$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5111364.6%73 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Phil Rowe12c515$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.833132%106 W · 225 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani68c514.71$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.716660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani68c514.71$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7129848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Phil Rowe33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16522661.9%140 W · 86 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Phil Rowe33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16535664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani65c460.01$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1615349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d3…e8e1backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.183966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Phil Rowe32c440.94$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.12646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani71c433.01$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.575451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x725d…e49abacked Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani68c370.46$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.551369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Phil Rowe34c369.89$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.064337.2%16 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.655950.8%30 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani70c367$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5952252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71b4…f97ebacked Phil Rowe8c352.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+192.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Phil Rowe9c341$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7527448.2%132 W · 142 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Phil Rowe33c338$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5420933.5%70 W · 139 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1210961.5%67 W · 42 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ee7…6760backed Phil Rowe34c256.68$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.277343.8%32 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Phil Rowe34c253.43$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1710651.9%55 W · 51 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Phil Rowe33c216.61$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.515540.6%63 W · 92 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Phil Rowe10c215.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7620139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Phil Rowe32c209.49$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.57437.8%28 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani69c205$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.417251.4%37 W · 35 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani74c200$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-63.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani63c199.08$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.115100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa132…6655backed Phil Rowe33c181.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f8…503abacked Phil Rowe37c177.56$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.79459.6%56 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe160…b6b9backed Phil Rowe28c176.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014442.4%61 W · 83 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Phil Rowe34c173$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.827528%21 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani68c153.21$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0315556.8%88 W · 67 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a68…98aebacked Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5226569.4%184 W · 81 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434b…adb4backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ce…978cbacked Phil Rowe33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Phil Rowe32c149.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9914827%40 W · 108 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e5…1d48backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0611057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64ad…41d5backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Phil Rowe10c146.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.339638.5%37 W · 59 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Phil Rowe35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016543.6%72 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Phil Rowe36c140.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018647.3%88 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Phil Rowe16c124.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9622438.4%86 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani68c119.82$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.342356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.