Tennis · resolved market
Lugano: Henri Squire vs Zsombor Piros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48d82bc7f2cb942cfe9bc344f656f293aefaade219ee30345d90eefb3138c9f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pirosof Squire, Piros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Squire | 34c | 9,318$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.46 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Piros | 74c | 5,858$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.2 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Squire | 50c | 3,967$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.11 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Squire | 46c | 2,826$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Piros | 42c | 2,372$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.94 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Piros | 45c | 1,668$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.15 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Squire | 45c | 1,603$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.04 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a39…9e71backed Piros | 54c | 1,589$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Piros | 59c | 1,506$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.14 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Piros | 45c | 1,254$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.26 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Squire | 18c | 1,087$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Piros | 54c | 952.49$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.15 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Piros | 54c | 843.6$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.86 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Piros | 57c | 779$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.17 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Squire | 47c | 756.86$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.69 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Piros | 56c | 628$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.5 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Squire | 35c | 577.95$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Piros | 53c | 534$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.94 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Piros | 44c | 518$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.28 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Squire | 46c | 509.8$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.8 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfded…312cbacked Piros | 52c | 498$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.04 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Piros | 47c | 451.27$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.19 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Squire | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Piros | 51c | 386$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.14 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Squire | 43c | 372.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Squire | 48c | 366.67$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…61bdbacked Squire | 21c | 290.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Piros | 54c | 286.84$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.19 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Squire | 47c | 258.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Piros | 55c | 256.36$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Piros | 51c | 219.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Piros | 52c | 190.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Piros | 53c | 188.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Piros | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Squire | 46c | 183.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.11 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Squire | 54c | 160.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Squire | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Squire | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Squire | 48c | 148.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Squire | 49c | 144.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Squire | 48c | 110.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Piros | 53c | 106.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Squire | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Squire | 30c | 102.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Squire | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Squire | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Piros | 53c | 94.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Piros | 51c | 92.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Piros | 55c | 76.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Piros | 56c | 59.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Piros | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Piros | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Squire | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Squire | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Piros | 48c | 48.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Piros | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Squire | 47c | 45.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Piros | 80c | 42.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Piros | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Piros | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Piros | 54c | 35.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…f81bbacked Piros | 44c | 34.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Squire | 54c | 33.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Piros | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Piros | 80c | 29.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Piros | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Piros | 61c | 28.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Piros | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Squire | 51c | 23.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Piros | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Piros | 53c | 21.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Piros | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.