Tennis · resolved market
Pune: Duje Ajdukovic vs Frederico Ferreira Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb28f7d9509c376deb54200f9df8abf02a01d2d49de8c6350a7640678b30a7364
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ajdukovicof Ajdukovic, Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Ajdukovic | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.98 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Silva | 47c | 1,060$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Silva | 18c | 989.56$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.01 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Silva | 21c | 940.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…b4b3backed Ajdukovic | 66c | 740.07$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Silva | 69c | 728.36$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Silva | 66c | 718.45$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ajdukovic | 58c | 711.84$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.25 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Silva | 67c | 702.26$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Silva | 33c | 607.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Silva | 21c | 541.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Silva | 18c | 509.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Silva | 54c | 478$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.08 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ajdukovic | 34c | 429.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.21 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Silva | 54c | 414$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.76 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Ajdukovic | 32c | 334.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.92 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Silva | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Silva | 33c | 305.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Silva | 13c | 287.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ajdukovic | 59c | 285.76$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Silva | 59c | 268.75$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.83 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ajdukovic | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Silva | 56c | 215$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Silva | 21c | 189.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Ajdukovic | 36c | 156.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Ajdukovic | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Silva | 13c | 144.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3705backed Ajdukovic | 71c | 141.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Silva | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Silva | 14c | 103.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Silva | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ajdukovic | 35c | 89.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Ajdukovic | 35c | 89.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Silva | 64c | 88.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Ajdukovic | 36c | 79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Ajdukovic | 47c | 69.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ajdukovic | 35c | 63.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Silva | 24c | 62.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Silva | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Ajdukovic | 78c | 37.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf791…8ef9backed Silva | 64c | 37.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ajdukovic | 73c | 33.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Silva | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Silva | 65c | 30.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Silva | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Ajdukovic | 51c | 20.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…863cbacked Ajdukovic | 71c | 18.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked Silva | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 349 | 65%227 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pune: Duje Ajdukovic vs Frederico Ferreira Silvathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Ajdukovic vs SilvaAjdukovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.