UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Punahele Soriano (Welterweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad5aca4c8e595d01dd997e5560d25ad3b884023b03d0d4b2d43137fdb5bb074a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Punahele Sorianoof Ramiz Brahimaj, Punahele Soriano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $549,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $697,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Punahele Soriano | 55c | 65,000$35,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,249.96 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 44c | 63,367$28,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,081.49 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 46c | 36,812$16,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,773.34 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 45c | 36,394$16,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,541.24 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Punahele Soriano | 54c | 30,952$16,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,237.91 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Punahele Soriano | 55c | 25,258$13,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,392.54 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.89 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 50c | 19,730$9,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,865.2 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Punahele Soriano | 46c | 13,793$6,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,421.53 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 47c | 12,808$5,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,994.87 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Punahele Soriano | 50c | 12,515$6,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,257.7 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 55c | 11,392$6,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,296.26 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Punahele Soriano | 55c | 10,892$5,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,924.53 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Punahele Soriano | 56c | 10,714$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.29 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 47c | 10,664$5,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,021.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 50c | 10,348$5,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,173.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 25c | 10,332$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.05 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…3b3ebacked Punahele Soriano | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Punahele Soriano | 54c | 8,152$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 44c | 7,777$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,421.88 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Punahele Soriano | 50c | 7,666$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Punahele Soriano | 54c | 7,252$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.74 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Punahele Soriano | 55c | 7,046$3,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.03 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Punahele Soriano | 54c | 6,997$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.74 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Punahele Soriano | 51c | 6,968$3,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.14 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Punahele Soriano | 64c | 6,345$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.35 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Punahele Soriano | 53c | 6,260$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.22 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Punahele Soriano | 64c | 6,021$3,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Punahele Soriano | 71c | 5,076$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.47 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Punahele Soriano | 56c | 5,001$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.31 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Punahele Soriano | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Punahele Soriano | 76c | 4,704$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.17 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Punahele Soriano | 54c | 4,190$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.22 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 38c | 3,825$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.92 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 45c | 3,720$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.43 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 48c | 3,642$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.58 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Punahele Soriano | 55c | 3,600$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 45c | 3,539$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.48 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Punahele Soriano | 56c | 3,247$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.99 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 58c | 2,969$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.09 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 45c | 2,853$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.82 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Punahele Soriano | 57c | 2,800$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.53 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Punahele Soriano | 53c | 2,790$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.89 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 26c | 2,516$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.95 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Punahele Soriano | 56c | 2,147$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.68 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 45c | 2,109$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.05 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Punahele Soriano | 52c | 2,088$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.17 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Punahele Soriano | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd606…9e01backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 48c | 1,938$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…eeb1backed Punahele Soriano | 51c | 1,801$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Punahele Soriano | 50c | 1,706$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 49c | 1,691$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Punahele Soriano | 56c | 1,582$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.08 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Punahele Soriano | 48c | 1,550$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.76 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 52c | 1,487$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Punahele Soriano | 50c | 1,454$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.94 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Punahele Soriano | 55c | 1,448$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.23 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…80cebacked Punahele Soriano | 55c | 1,433$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Punahele Soriano | 55c | 1,293$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.73 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Punahele Soriano | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.3 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 46c | 1,045$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.23 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Punahele Soriano | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 60c | 822.69$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.17 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Punahele Soriano | 56c | 820$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Punahele Soriano | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 52c | 788.98$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Punahele Soriano | 56c | 765.16$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.67 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…309ebacked Punahele Soriano | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Punahele Soriano | 47c | 720.46$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.84 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Punahele Soriano | 30c | 714.73$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.01 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Punahele Soriano | 43c | 705.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.28 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Punahele Soriano | 52c | 689.01$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 46c | 683.42$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.17 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Punahele Soriano | 52c | 679.21$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.76 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Punahele Soriano | 56c | 678$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.32 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Punahele Soriano | 55c | 666.67$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 50c | 666$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 59c | 624.71$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.63 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Punahele Soriano | 32c | 623.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Punahele Soriano | 66c | 607.48$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 50c | 603$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 48c | 599.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked Punahele Soriano | 55c | 584.57$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.77 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 45c | 559.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 49c | 556.4$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.54 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Punahele Soriano | 74c | 529.33$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.05 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 49c | 524$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Punahele Soriano | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Punahele Soriano | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Punahele Soriano (Welterweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Punahele Soriano win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.