Tennis · resolved market
Tigre 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48ae944e7fa93bc137fa047dd7e5cd4ac16e1733666a6e88a0bc1dc5ae007dc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olivieriof Olivieri, Ambrogi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Ambrogi | 44c | 2,047$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.75 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ambrogi | 5c | 1,974$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Olivieri | 55c | 1,413$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.96 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Olivieri | 56c | 1,065$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.38 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Ambrogi | 45c | 1,034$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.12 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ambrogi | 11c | 954.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ambrogi | 45c | 547.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.3 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ambrogi | 5c | 436.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Olivieri | 57c | 372$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.99 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Olivieri | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Olivieri | 55c | 345$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olivieri | 58c | 329.53$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Olivieri | 57c | 310$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ambrogi | 25c | 304.84$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Ambrogi | 45c | 282.17$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.98 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Ambrogi | 11c | 180$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Ambrogi | 45c | 161.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Ambrogi | 43c | 153.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Olivieri | 55c | 145.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ambrogi | 49c | 143.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ambrogi | 45c | 140.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Ambrogi | 25c | 122.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Olivieri | 55c | 113$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Ambrogi | 24c | 108.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Olivieri | 62c | 99.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Olivieri | 56c | 99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Olivieri | 70c | 93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd84…3df1backed Olivieri | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ambrogi | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ambrogi | 19c | 56.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Ambrogi | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Ambrogi | 41c | 45.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ambrogi | 42c | 42.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Olivieri | 62c | 40.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 271 | 47.2%128 W · 143 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Ambrogi | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Ambrogi | 62c | 35.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Olivieri | 72c | 32.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee68…53c6backed Ambrogi | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Olivieri | 56c | 23.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Olivieri | 78c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.