TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Chile Open: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luciano Darderi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Luciano Darderiof Andrea Pellegrino, Luciano Darderi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$231,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,021

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Andrea Pellegrino5c38,367$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.361,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Andrea Pellegrino6c23,806$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.880938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Andrea Pellegrino6c23,167$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.842,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Andrea Pellegrino14c5,955$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.436,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd5…d06bbacked Andrea Pellegrino29c4,256$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2504723.4%11 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Andrea Pellegrino3c3,788$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Andrea Pellegrino4c3,624$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.191,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Andrea Pellegrino12c3,561$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.11,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Andrea Pellegrino8c2,502$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288c…3641backed Andrea Pellegrino23c1,739$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Andrea Pellegrino13c1,733$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2323945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Andrea Pellegrino14c1,542$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.7638133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Andrea Pellegrino13c1,426$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.571,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed Andrea Pellegrino21c1,400$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2943743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Andrea Pellegrino13c1,250$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6435932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Andrea Pellegrino12c1,242$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.071,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Andrea Pellegrino15c1,227$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4599044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf1e…47c9backed Andrea Pellegrino2c1,210$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Andrea Pellegrino21c1,186$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2499530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Andrea Pellegrino29c1,022$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Andrea Pellegrino12c1,010$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6795140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe55d…2335backed Andrea Pellegrino11c1,000$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-81.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Andrea Pellegrino6c819.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509938.4%38 W · 61 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Andrea Pellegrino10c742.56$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7527935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Andrea Pellegrino14c700$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7873745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Andrea Pellegrino23c678.09$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6818932.3%61 W · 128 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc635…9052backed Luciano Darderi74c658.43$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.437368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Andrea Pellegrino17c651$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.381,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Andrea Pellegrino15c642.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.71,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc48a…c6c4backed Andrea Pellegrino5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-66.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b5a…b691backed Andrea Pellegrino8c595$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.73333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Andrea Pellegrino11c581.04$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4538652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Andrea Pellegrino14c571$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Luciano Darderi79c549$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.474,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Andrea Pellegrino12c469.86$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3811428.9%33 W · 81 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Andrea Pellegrino28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Andrea Pellegrino13c346$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.981,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Andrea Pellegrino6c343.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Andrea Pellegrino9c339.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Andrea Pellegrino3c317.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.335113.7%7 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Andrea Pellegrino7c300.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.782955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+33.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Andrea Pellegrino22c300$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.460943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Andrea Pellegrino15c299.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8990335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Andrea Pellegrino14c293.57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.118133.1%60 W · 121 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Luciano Darderi73c274.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3884736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd243…3398backed Andrea Pellegrino20c252.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Andrea Pellegrino27c250$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.523847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Andrea Pellegrino12c249.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Andrea Pellegrino21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Andrea Pellegrino15c235.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3572542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Luciano Darderi72c233.59$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5413356.4%75 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Andrea Pellegrino13c230.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Andrea Pellegrino29c229.26$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4114541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Andrea Pellegrino16c220$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.221338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Andrea Pellegrino14c218.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Andrea Pellegrino14c209.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032147%151 W · 170 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Andrea Pellegrino13c207.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8233326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Andrea Pellegrino13c202$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2313647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Andrea Pellegrino14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2835040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9edc…b088backed Andrea Pellegrino13c199.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9728424.3%69 W · 215 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Luciano Darderi78c192.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2184963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Andrea Pellegrino27c180$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…5d44backed Andrea Pellegrino14c171.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245514.5%8 W · 47 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Luciano Darderi78c168.36$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.844,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Andrea Pellegrino15c164$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1618233.5%61 W · 121 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Andrea Pellegrino14c149.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.361,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725d…e49abacked Luciano Darderi74c121.31$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.545048%24 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd8…39b1backed Andrea Pellegrino23c119.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2718248.9%89 W · 93 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Luciano Darderi78c119.2$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5529063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Andrea Pellegrino13c114.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9442046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Andrea Pellegrino27c110.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.272,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Andrea Pellegrino14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Andrea Pellegrino19c100.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0457252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Andrea Pellegrino23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.91,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed Andrea Pellegrino11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c4…a92dbacked Andrea Pellegrino15c99.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.645038%19 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Andrea Pellegrino21c95.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7810757.9%62 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Andrea Pellegrino23c83.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2361953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Andrea Pellegrino25c80.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2088446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5928…472abacked Andrea Pellegrino14c75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick44cpaid-69.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Andrea Pellegrino20c73.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1594447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Andrea Pellegrino14c71.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1095846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Andrea Pellegrino22c63.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.223,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x9400…b3cdbacked Andrea Pellegrino29c58.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Luciano Darderi70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9625546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.