Tennis · resolved market
Tigre 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Franco Agamenone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b33c5554bf0f96bc257795db240f693c238044940b2f9558fda3a0c9e022674
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marcondesof Marcondes, Agamenone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Agamenone | 35c | 2,130$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.51 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Marcondes | 58c | 1,925$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.8 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…4795backed Agamenone | 34c | 1,763$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Agamenone | 32c | 1,725$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.5 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Marcondes | 62c | 1,682$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.39 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Agamenone | 33c | 1,541$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.91 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Agamenone | 23c | 1,216$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.42 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Agamenone | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Agamenone | 37c | 546.08$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.21 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Agamenone | 27c | 526.09$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.46 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Agamenone | 37c | 470$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.9 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marcondes | 67c | 458.75$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.88 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Marcondes | 56c | 452$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.26 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Marcondes | 60c | 430$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.44 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Agamenone | 27c | 400.93$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Marcondes | 59c | 379$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.69 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Marcondes | 58c | 340.11$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.47 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Agamenone | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Marcondes | 64c | 235.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Marcondes | 62c | 216$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Marcondes | 70c | 199.05$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Agamenone | 27c | 168.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Agamenone | 37c | 166.37$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Agamenone | 37c | 156.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Marcondes | 65c | 155.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marcondes | 64c | 134$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a6…a5cfbacked Marcondes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Agamenone | 33c | 115$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Marcondes | 63c | 103.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Marcondes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Marcondes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8dc…aff7backed Marcondes | 63c | 95.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Agamenone | 46c | 87.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marcondes | 76c | 79.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Agamenone | 36c | 78.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Agamenone | 27c | 66.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Marcondes | 34c | 63.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Agamenone | 37c | 53.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…1d6ebacked Marcondes | 63c | 50.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Agamenone | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Marcondes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Agamenone | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Marcondes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…fa01backed Marcondes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…d123backed Marcondes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Marcondes | 68c | 29.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Marcondes | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Agamenone | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f0…dd88backed Marcondes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…4fbcbacked Marcondes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Marcondes | 78c | 16.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.