Tennis · resolved market
Pune: Ilya Ivashka vs Manoj Dhamne Manas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x434dcecbb580fc5dc6412c9895764a135861a9b581dd190946267b3e11f8fdfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manasof Ivashka, Manas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x843d…e617backed Manas | 77c | 15,744$12,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,592.4 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ivashka | 33c | 10,428$3,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.46 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ivashka | 1c | 3,618$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Manas | 62c | 2,348$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.39 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Ivashka | 39c | 2,067$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.31 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Manas | 62c | 2,000$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.8 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Manas | 66c | 1,520$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.52 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Ivashka | 34c | 1,236$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.08 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Ivashka | 40c | 1,036$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.52 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Ivashka | 39c | 765.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Manas | 60c | 547.06$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Ivashka | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ivashka | 29c | 525.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.37 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Ivashka | 39c | 435$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Ivashka | 41c | 411.01$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.87 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Ivashka | 39c | 400$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Ivashka | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ivashka | 39c | 375$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Manas | 51c | 316.59$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.77 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Manas | 63c | 270.27$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ivashka | 38c | 246.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Ivashka | 49c | 204.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Ivashka | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Ivashka | 38c | 199.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Manas | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Ivashka | 15c | 171$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Manas | 69c | 168.96$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Manas | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Ivashka | 36c | 157.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Manas | 57c | 142.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bee…31fdbacked Ivashka | 8c | 132.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Ivashka | 48c | 127.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Ivashka | 13c | 121.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ivashka | 34c | 109.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Manas | 62c | 103$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ivashka | 32c | 100.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Manas | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Ivashka | 15c | 94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ivashka | 25c | 82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Manas | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ivashka | 40c | 74.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Ivashka | 23c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Manas | 57c | 65.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Manas | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Manas | 65c | 55.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ivashka | 37c | 54.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Manas | 68c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed Manas | 63c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Manas | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Manas | 59c | 37.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Manas | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Manas | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Ivashka | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Manas | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Manas | 64c | 23.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pune: Ilya Ivashka vs Manoj Dhamne Manasthis page
- Ivashka vs. Manas: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Ivashka vs ManasManas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.