Tennis · resolved market
Midland: Madison Brengle vs Mary Stoiana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98eae81079b37f8d54aa32f7b8cab3849b200b49af7e84bdbec704e96555716b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stoianaof Brengle, Stoiana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stoiana | 71c | 3,709$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.83 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Brengle | 25c | 1,626$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.83 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Brengle | 31c | 1,443$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.19 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Brengle | 20c | 1,230$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.9 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Brengle | 19c | 1,057$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Brengle | 41c | 717.55$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.13 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…59c4backed Brengle | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Brengle | 40c | 499.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Brengle | 39c | 467.63$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.47 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Stoiana | 72c | 456.63$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Stoiana | 67c | 445$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.14 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Brengle | 22c | 418.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Brengle | 23c | 279.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Brengle | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Stoiana | 61c | 249.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Brengle | 39c | 224$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Stoiana | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brengle | 16c | 105.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Stoiana | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Brengle | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Brengle | 14c | 78.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Stoiana | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Brengle | 39c | 77.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brengle | 15c | 76.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Stoiana | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Brengle | 24c | 52.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Brengle | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stoiana | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Brengle | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Stoiana | 63c | 33.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Stoiana | 78c | 33.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Brengle | 40c | 31.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Stoiana | 70c | 28.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Stoiana | 61c | 26.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Stoiana | 65c | 21.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Stoiana | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…ff36backed Stoiana | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…159ebacked Stoiana | 76c | 15.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Midland: Madison Brengle vs Mary Stoianathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Brengle vs StoianaStoiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.