Europa Conference League · resolved market
Kuopion PS vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x004485511a5f8859e6e484ec53ecac9d78d0b04bdf9b48b29f31951411451226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 59c | 162,646$96,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,495.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 41c | 47,500$19,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,874.99 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 39c | 41,044$16,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,947.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 40,611$16,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,757.06 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 23,164$8,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,841.78 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 58c | 13,428$7,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,788.35 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 12,497$5,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,366.58 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 57c | 11,208$6,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,377.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 42c | 5,500$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 4,962$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.76 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Under | 42c | 4,760$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 43c | 3,662$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.37 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e7…ffe7backed Over | 62c | 2,248$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Under | 40c | 2,078$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.59 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 1,407$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.92 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Under | 40c | 1,025$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 40c | 736$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.64 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 26c | 716.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.09 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 630.02$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.6 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Under | 42c | 610.62$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.16 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 43c | 579.05$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.06 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Over | 60c | 497.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 42c | 476$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.08 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 41c | 426.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.64 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 57c | 399.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 40c | 389.68$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.81 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 354.34$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.43 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 46c | 260.37$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 44c | 209.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 55c | 181.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Over | 77c | 168.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Over | 60c | 145.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 42c | 124.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Under | 40c | 119.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…3ab9backed Over | 60c | 100.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…b220backed Over | 24c | 95.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 94.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 89.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 55c | 88.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 58c | 86.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed Under | 22c | 79.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…7372backed Under | 41c | 76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…0143backed Under | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Under | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 59.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…2a97backed Over | 76c | 55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Under | 40c | 54.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f61…4e52backed Over | 59c | 50.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 60c | 49.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Under | 47c | 49.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked Over | 62c | 48.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Under | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Under | 43c | 45.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 69c | 43.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c2…63f7backed Over | 60c | 39.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Under | 40c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…159ebacked Under | 33c | 34.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 46c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84c1…140abacked Over | 57c | 32.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fc…daefbacked Under | 43c | 32.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…9e5fbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 40c | 25.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d227backed Over | 45c | 25.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…eabbbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 60c | 19.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kuopion PS vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5this page
- Kuopion PS vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kuopion PS vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.