South American Leagues · resolved market
Barcelona SC vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9242e159921399e40002bd2add5e88fbfff000a5514d28483a090b81abb31569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 1c | 2,774$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 46c | 1,600$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.65 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 910.05$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.11 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 29c | 865.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 64c | 465.52$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.93 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 455.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 35c | 428.42$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.4 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 407.21$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.15 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 28c | 349.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 72c | 285.55$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 37c | 161.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc89…e4d0backed Over | 66c | 159.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 70c | 98.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 64c | 88.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 71c | 73.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 62c | 69.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 35c | 66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Under | 74c | 39.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 35c | 31.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 60c | 22.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked Under | 74c | 18.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…159ebacked Under | 69c | 15.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Barcelona SC vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5this page
- Barcelona SC vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Barcelona SC vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 2.5Under won
- Barcelona SC vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- Barcelona SC vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.