Tennis · resolved market
Metepec: Alafia Ayeni vs Rodrigo Pacheco
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0afba36d1d2eefe6ef4064696e6815a702caba38443a80d32b9d1a5cb960b82c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pachecoof Ayeni, Pacheco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ayeni | 47c | 16,439$7,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,806.17 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pacheco | 60c | 7,014$4,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.3 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ayeni | 51c | 3,505$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.75 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Pacheco | 40c | 3,310$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.54 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Pacheco | 42c | 2,897$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.66 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacheco | 53c | 2,622$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Pacheco | 42c | 2,372$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.76 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pacheco | 48c | 2,123$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.53 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Ayeni | 41c | 1,603$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.14 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ayeni | 45c | 1,201$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.16 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Pacheco | 76c | 1,049$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.68 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Pacheco | 39c | 838.54$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.51 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Ayeni | 33c | 692.38$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5303backed Pacheco | 40c | 612.85$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d3…0d2abacked Ayeni | 22c | 575.11$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Pacheco | 53c | 565.86$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.13 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Pacheco | 52c | 478$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.33 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Ayeni | 23c | 455.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ayeni | 50c | 322.8$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Pacheco | 66c | 321.77$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Pacheco | 42c | 311.9$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.9 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Pacheco | 54c | 296$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.01 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Pacheco | 42c | 286.23$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.29 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Ayeni | 64c | 266$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.3 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ayeni | 42c | 254.81$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ayeni | 23c | 242.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Ayeni | 23c | 238.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Pacheco | 56c | 229.67$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…e258backed Ayeni | 23c | 217.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…bd29backed Pacheco | 68c | 185.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Pacheco | 79c | 180.48$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…dc5abacked Ayeni | 27c | 168.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.40per pick | 29cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Pacheco | 69c | 151.25$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Pacheco | 73c | 142.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Pacheco | 51c | 118.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Ayeni | 25c | 116.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Ayeni | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Ayeni | 61c | 109.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Pacheco | 69c | 105.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Ayeni | 29c | 103$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Pacheco | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Pacheco | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Pacheco | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ayeni | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0d10backed Pacheco | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Pacheco | 56c | 88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…c586backed Ayeni | 60c | 72.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Pacheco | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pacheco | 72c | 64.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacheco | 73c | 62.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ayeni | 24c | 60.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Pacheco | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Pacheco | 42c | 56.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ayeni | 50c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640a…4669backed Pacheco | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc09f…d9d0backed Pacheco | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…d123backed Pacheco | 70c | 49.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Pacheco | 44c | 37.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ayeni | 40c | 37.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ayeni | 41c | 33.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Pacheco | 77c | 33.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ayeni | 34c | 32.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Ayeni | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Pacheco | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Ayeni | 39c | 29.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Pacheco | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Pacheco | 53c | 26.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Pacheco | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Pacheco | 42c | 23.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…159ebacked Pacheco | 59c | 21.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a2…50d2backed Pacheco | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…b344backed Pacheco | 61c | 19.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…553cbacked Ayeni | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…fc8abacked Pacheco | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Metepec: Alafia Ayeni vs Rodrigo Pachecothis page
- Ayeni vs. Pacheco: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.